TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118256
Played Sep 12Finished
Kacper Marchlewski
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71171112101012––
Piotr Maruszak
Away
1.26
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:37 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeKacper Marchlewski to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
71171112101012––
H2H Kacper Marchlewski 1–2 Piotr Maruszak Kacper Marchlewski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:37What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (72%)
Maruszak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marchlewski 1219 vs Maruszak 1382
Maruszak
Correct
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marchlewski 60% vs Maruszak 40%
Marchlewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marchlewski 30% vs Maruszak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Marchlewski -2 · Maruszak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Maruszak) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maruszak form (40%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 3.25 / Maruszak 1.26
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Maruszak)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13118256
Marchlewski3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 47 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Maruszak1.26
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 23 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it70% 19 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMarchlewski1wins
AwayMaruszak2wins
Maruszak leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarchlewskin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMaruszak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marchlewski0Maruszak3n = 3Maruszak took 3 of 3
S2Marchlewski2Maruszak1n = 3Marchlewski took 2 of 3
S3Marchlewski1Maruszak2n = 3Maruszak took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMarchlewskiMaruszakMarchlewski − MaruszakBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match35.039.7−4.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiMaruszakBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 337 vs 236 / 50043.9%47.2%148 / 337 vs 236 / 500Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaruszakMarchlewski 3.25/Maruszak 1.26
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.1%
Maruszak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maruszak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LApr 26 · 15:55K. Marchlewski—11115111P. Maruszak—13911133
WApr 12 · 15:30K. Marchlewski—61113113P. Maruszak—1191171
LApr 11 · 16:55K. Marchlewski—11870P. Maruszak—1311113
K. Marchlewski10
LSep 12 · 09:50J. Przewlocki1.6211111511113K. Marchlewski2.1561317452LSep 12 · 24:10K. Marchlewski2.0594100M. Lukaszewski1.681111123WSep 11 · 23:20K. Marchlewski2.3011611113K. Sulkowski1.55711271WSep 11 · 21:55K. Marchlewski1.9511711113D. Poloszczanski1.75711791WSep 11 · 21:30K. Marchlewski2.20915118143W. Gluszek1.571113311122LSep 11 · 20:30K. Sulkowski1.52101112163K. Marchlewski2.3012810141LSep 11 · 19:20K. Marchlewski2.007119111M. Lukaszewski1.7011711133LSep 11 · 18:10P. Strus1.801212113K. Marchlewski1.91101060LSep 11 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.5711118113K. Marchlewski2.25971171LSep 11 · 15:25W. Gluszek1.751111113K. Marchlewski1.959750
P. Maruszak10
WSep 12 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.861161271P. Maruszak1.8071114113LSep 12 · 07:40D. Solilo1.541111113P. Maruszak2.258930LSep 12 · 06:50K. Rudomina1.8511911113P. Maruszak1.85911481WSep 12 · 06:00P. Maruszak1.8611611113R. Malinowski1.80511691LSep 12 · 04:25P. Maruszak4.255730G. Poliniewicz1.161111113LSep 12 · 03:40K. Wisniewski1.301111123P. Maruszak3.2585100LAug 2 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.86116791M. Woskowicz1.8371111113LAug 2 · 12:35P. Maruszak1.85711661P. Staniszewski1.8011511113WAug 2 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.5011511113A. Mugowski2.45611861WAug 2 · 10:05M. Zagajewski1.85211791P. Maruszak1.8011911113
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P. Maruszak
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