TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114780
Played Sep 11Finished
Kacper Marchlewski
Home
2.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117611112117––
Karol Sulkowski
Away
1.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeKacper Marchlewski to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
117611112117––
H2H Kacper Marchlewski 0–1 Karol Sulkowski Kacper Marchlewski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Sulkowski beat Marchlewski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:10What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Marchlewski 1222 vs Sulkowski 1302
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marchlewski 40% vs Sulkowski 60%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marchlewski 40% vs Sulkowski 70%
Sulkowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marchlewski +2 · Sulkowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 2.30 / Sulkowski 1.55
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Sulkowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13114780
Marchlewski2.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Sulkowski1.55
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 223 of 412
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it80% 169 of 212
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMarchlewski0wins
AwaySulkowski1wins
Sulkowski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMarchlewskiSulkowskiM − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.049.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 334 vs 636 / 128444%49.5%147 / 334 vs 636 / 1284Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiMarchlewski 2.30/Sulkowski 1.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Marchlewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 11 · 20:30K. Marchlewski4412810141K. Sulkowski49101112163
K. Marchlewski10
WSep 12 · 20:30K. Marchlewski3.55111188123A. Wos1.25651111102LSep 12 · 18:55K. Marchlewski2.70113661G. Kesik1.4091111113WSep 12 · 17:45K. Marchlewski2.85111124113R. Stapor1.3535111132WSep 12 · 16:15K. Marchlewski2.35681111113D. Kotwica1.4811119772WSep 12 · 15:00K. Marchlewski2.2511111013113W. Gluszek1.5775121582LSep 12 · 13:55J. Rolak1.741111123K. Marchlewski1.9594100LSep 12 · 13:05I. Dabrowski1.30461111113K. Marchlewski3.0011118162LSep 12 · 12:15K. Marchlewski3.506111141J. Glanowski1.2511134113LSep 12 · 10:35K. Marchlewski3.257712101P. Maruszak1.26111110123LSep 12 · 09:50J. Przewlocki1.6211111511113K. Marchlewski2.1561317452
K. Sulkowski10
LSep 11 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski1.85511611113K. Sulkowski1.8011311752WSep 11 · 22:15K. Sulkowski1.851111123W. Gluszek1.8567100LSep 11 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski2.151111113K. Sulkowski1.617880WSep 11 · 20:30K. Sulkowski1.52101112163K. Marchlewski2.3012810141WSep 11 · 18:55K. Sulkowski1.801111113P. Strus1.908760WSep 11 · 17:45K. Sulkowski2.0511118113D. Szlubowski1.68991171WSep 11 · 16:15K. Sulkowski1.681111610113W. Gluszek1.9496111272WSep 11 · 15:00K. Sulkowski1.6511126113M. Lukaszewski2.108101171LSep 10 · 08:35K. Klocek1.901311113K. Sulkowski1.8011690WSep 10 · 07:30K. Sulkowski1.8011114113D. Wrobel1.85791191
Upcoming Matches
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K. Sulkowski
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