TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118244
Played Sep 12Finished
Kacper Marchlewski
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111113114411––
Jakub Glanowski
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Glanowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
6111113114411––
H2H Kacper Marchlewski 2–2 Jakub Glanowski Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:34What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (74%)
Glanowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marchlewski 1212 vs Glanowski 1449
Glanowski
Correct
both rated, 237 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marchlewski 40% vs Glanowski 80%
Glanowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marchlewski 30% vs Glanowski 60%
Glanowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marchlewski -3 · Glanowski +2
Marchlewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Glanowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marchlewski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 3.50 / Glanowski 1.25
Signal prob.24% / 77%
Edge (Glanowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13118244
Marchlewski3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 47 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Glanowski1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 219 of 361
Up 2–0, closes it91% 112 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it73% 160 of 218
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMarchlewski2wins
AwayGlanowski2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marchlewski2Glanowski2n = 4split evenly
S2Marchlewski1Glanowski3n = 4Glanowski took 3 of 4
S3Marchlewski2Glanowski2n = 4split evenly
S4Marchlewski2Glanowski1n = 3Marchlewski took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMarchlewskiGlanowskiM − GBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match35.036.2−1.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiGlanowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 338 vs 890 / 180043.8%49.4%148 / 338 vs 890 / 1800Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlanowskiMarchlewski 3.50/Glanowski 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.5%
Glanowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Glanowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 18 · 18:55K. Marchlewski2366110J. Glanowski351111133
WApr 5 · 12:40K. Marchlewski3811412113J. Glanowski325111061
LApr 20 · 17:50K. Marchlewski369116101J. Glanowski4211811123
WMar 9 · 21:35K. Marchlewski4312911113J. Glanowski361011781
K. Marchlewski10
LSep 12 · 13:05I. Dabrowski1.30461111113K. Marchlewski3.0011118162LSep 12 · 10:35K. Marchlewski3.257712101P. Maruszak1.26111110123LSep 12 · 09:50J. Przewlocki1.6211111511113K. Marchlewski2.1561317452LSep 12 · 24:10K. Marchlewski2.0594100M. Lukaszewski1.681111123WSep 11 · 23:20K. Marchlewski2.3011611113K. Sulkowski1.55711271WSep 11 · 21:55K. Marchlewski1.9511711113D. Poloszczanski1.75711791WSep 11 · 21:30K. Marchlewski2.20915118143W. Gluszek1.571113311122LSep 11 · 20:30K. Sulkowski1.52101112163K. Marchlewski2.3012810141LSep 11 · 19:20K. Marchlewski2.007119111M. Lukaszewski1.7011711133LSep 11 · 18:10P. Strus1.801212113K. Marchlewski1.91101060
J. Glanowski10
LSep 12 · 13:30J. Glanowski1.7711511992P. Maruszak1.93511411113WSep 12 · 11:00J. Przewlocki2.6558100J. Glanowski1.401111123WSep 12 · 09:25J. Rolak3.15913151J. Glanowski1.28111111113LSep 12 · 07:40D. Poloszczanski2.8511117123J. Glanowski1.386811101WSep 12 · 06:55J. Przewlocki2.651110681J. Glanowski1.4081211113WSep 12 · 06:05J. Glanowski1.301111113J. Rolak3.005690WSep 12 · 04:30J. Glanowski1.50711116113B. Wisniewski2.3511991172LSep 12 · 03:50I. Dabrowski1.95512311113J. Glanowski1.77111011862WSep 11 · 07:40M. Trela2.357980J. Glanowski1.521111113LSep 11 · 06:55M. Misiak1.90611611113J. Glanowski1.8211811982
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