TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118264
Played Sep 12Finished
Jaroslaw Rolak
Home
3.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111311111511––
Jakub Glanowski
Away
1.28
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:43 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Glanowski to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
9111311111511––
H2H Jaroslaw Rolak 0–4 Jakub Glanowski Jaroslaw Rolak has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Glanowski beat Rolak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (71%)
Glanowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Glanowski
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rolak 1256 vs Glanowski 1423
Glanowski
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolak 40% vs Glanowski 60%
Glanowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolak 40% vs Glanowski 60%
Glanowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolak +1 · Glanowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Glanowski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glanowski form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 3.15 / Glanowski 1.28
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Glanowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13118264
Rolak3.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 191 of 504
Down 0–1, comes back19% 52 of 276
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 122
Glanowski1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 219 of 361
Up 2–0, closes it91% 112 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it73% 160 of 218
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeRolak0wins
AwayGlanowski4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderGlanowski leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRolakn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayGlanowski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolak0Glanowski4n = 4Glanowski took 4 of 4
S2Rolak1Glanowski3n = 4Glanowski took 3 of 4
S3Rolak1Glanowski3n = 4Glanowski took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away375%
These 4 meetings
MetricRolakGlanowskiR − GBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match29.238.0−8.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakGlanowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime656 / 1438 vs 888 / 179845.6%49.4%656 / 1438 vs 888 / 1798Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlanowskiRolak 3.15/Glanowski 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Glanowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Glanowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 12 · 06:05J. Rolak—5690J. Glanowski—1111113
LJun 10 · 01:35J. Rolak—14490J. Glanowski—1611113
LJun 9 · 23:05J. Rolak—65120J. Glanowski—1111143
LJun 9 · 17:55J. Rolak—411111292J. Glanowski—111814113
J. Rolak10
WSep 12 · 08:35J. Przewlocki1.7212129482J. Rolak2.0010101111113LSep 12 · 07:20J. Rolak1.9112811111B. Wisniewski1.7314115133LSep 12 · 06:05J. Glanowski1.301111113J. Rolak3.005690WSep 12 · 04:55I. Dabrowski1.3791011121J. Rolak2.7011127143LSep 12 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.86581111123J. Rolak1.83111178102WSep 11 · 24:10J. Rolak2.35411911113K. Klocek1.5311211362LSep 10 · 23:20J. Rolak1.80711991M. Lukaszewski1.8511511113LSep 10 · 21:55J. Rolak1.70910111182M. Trela2.00111267113LSep 10 · 21:30J. Rolak1.751011111062K. Golaszewski1.89128512113WSep 10 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski1.91671171J. Rolak1.7311115113
J. Glanowski10
LSep 12 · 07:40D. Poloszczanski2.8511117123J. Glanowski1.386811101WSep 12 · 06:55J. Przewlocki2.651110681J. Glanowski1.4081211113WSep 12 · 06:05J. Glanowski1.301111113J. Rolak3.005690WSep 12 · 04:30J. Glanowski1.50711116113B. Wisniewski2.3511991172LSep 12 · 03:50I. Dabrowski1.95512311113J. Glanowski1.77111011862WSep 11 · 07:40M. Trela2.357980J. Glanowski1.521111113LSep 11 · 06:55M. Misiak1.90611611113J. Glanowski1.8211811982LSep 11 · 06:05J. Glanowski1.721181081R. Stapor1.9261112113WSep 11 · 04:30J. Glanowski1.351111113B. Wisniewski2.953890WSep 11 · 03:50M. Zagajewski2.107118111J. Glanowski1.6011311133
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