TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119146
Played Sep 12Finished
Igor Dabrowski
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411611118111116
Kacper Marchlewski
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:20 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeKacper Marchlewski to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
411611118111116
H2H Igor Dabrowski 2–0 Kacper Marchlewski Kacper Marchlewski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:20What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (70%)
Dabrowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dabrowski 1358 vs Marchlewski 1207
Dabrowski
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabrowski 60% vs Marchlewski 20%
Dabrowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabrowski 50% vs Marchlewski 30%
Dabrowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabrowski +2 · Marchlewski -4
Marchlewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Dabrowski) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marchlewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabrowski 1.30 / Marchlewski 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Dabrowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13119146
Dabrowski1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 210 of 354
Up 2–0, closes it97% 101 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it75% 163 of 218
Marchlewski3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 47 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDabrowski2wins
AwayMarchlewski0wins
Dabrowski leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDabrowskiMarchlewskiD − MBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match46.034.5+11.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabrowskiMarchlewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1597 vs 148 / 33950.3%43.7%803 / 1597 vs 148 / 339Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DabrowskiDabrowski 1.30/Marchlewski 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.6%
Dabrowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dabrowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 13 · 12:15I. Dabrowski46131111113K. Marchlewski32156561
WJun 13 · 06:05I. Dabrowski46111111133K. Marchlewski378135111
I. Dabrowski10
WSep 12 · 11:50I. Dabrowski1.5591111113J. Przewlocki2.25116991WSep 12 · 10:10I. Dabrowski1.50101111153J. Rolak2.401288131LSep 12 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.861161271P. Maruszak1.8071114113LSep 12 · 08:10I. Dabrowski1.41114961B. Wisniewski2.6051111113WSep 12 · 06:30D. Poloszczanski2.65101191282I. Dabrowski1.401291110113LSep 12 · 05:40J. Przewlocki2.1511911113I. Dabrowski1.60511681LSep 12 · 04:55I. Dabrowski1.3791011121J. Rolak2.7011127143WSep 12 · 03:50I. Dabrowski1.95512311113J. Glanowski1.77111011862LSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113WSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151
K. Marchlewski10
LSep 12 · 12:15K. Marchlewski3.506111141J. Glanowski1.2511134113LSep 12 · 10:35K. Marchlewski3.257712101P. Maruszak1.26111110123LSep 12 · 09:50J. Przewlocki1.6211111511113K. Marchlewski2.1561317452LSep 12 · 24:10K. Marchlewski2.0594100M. Lukaszewski1.681111123WSep 11 · 23:20K. Marchlewski2.3011611113K. Sulkowski1.55711271WSep 11 · 21:55K. Marchlewski1.9511711113D. Poloszczanski1.75711791WSep 11 · 21:30K. Marchlewski2.20915118143W. Gluszek1.571113311122LSep 11 · 20:30K. Sulkowski1.52101112163K. Marchlewski2.3012810141LSep 11 · 19:20K. Marchlewski2.007119111M. Lukaszewski1.7011711133LSep 11 · 18:10P. Strus1.801212113K. Marchlewski1.91101060
Upcoming Matches
I. Dabrowski
K. Marchlewski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.