TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118334
Played Sep 12Finished
Kacper Marchlewski
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11711510121315118
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:43 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeKacper Marchlewski to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
11711510121315118
H2H Kacper Marchlewski 7–5 Wojciech Gluszek Wojciech Gluszek has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:43What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gluszek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Marchlewski
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marchlewski 1182 vs Gluszek 1242
Gluszek
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marchlewski 0% vs Gluszek 20%
Gluszek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marchlewski 30% vs Gluszek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Marchlewski -5 · Gluszek -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Gluszek) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 2.25 / Gluszek 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Gluszek)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13118334
Marchlewski2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 47 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Gluszek1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 169 of 304
Up 2–0, closes it94% 83 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it76% 129 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarchlewski7wins
AwayGluszek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMarchlewski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarchlewski100%4 of 4
AwayGluszek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marchlewski4Gluszek6n = 10Gluszek took 6 of 10
S2Marchlewski6Gluszek4n = 10Marchlewski took 6 of 10
S3Marchlewski4Gluszek6n = 10Gluszek took 6 of 10
S4Marchlewski5Gluszek2n = 7Marchlewski took 5 of 7
S5Marchlewski3Gluszek0n = 3Marchlewski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarchlewskiGluszekM − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.236.5+2.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 341 vs 852 / 179143.4%47.6%148 / 341 vs 852 / 1791Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GluszekMarchlewski 2.25/Gluszek 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Gluszek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Marchlewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 21:30K. Marchlewski57915118143W. Gluszek501113311122
LSep 11 · 15:25K. Marchlewski219750W. Gluszek331111113
WSep 3 · 24:35K. Marchlewski331111113W. Gluszek258980
LSep 2 · 18:30K. Marchlewski35811881W. Gluszek4211911113
WSep 1 · 22:55K. Marchlewski4011711113W. Gluszek28511391
WSep 1 · 20:05K. Marchlewski50712911113W. Gluszek43111011382
WAug 6 · 24:10K. Marchlewski4211711133W. Gluszek313116111
WAug 5 · 20:30K. Marchlewski3811124113W. Gluszek356101181
LMay 3 · 10:20K. Marchlewski2568110W. Gluszek351111133
WNov 22 · 11:35K. Marchlewski518111011113W. Gluszek4311612772
K. Marchlewski10
LSep 12 · 13:55J. Rolak1.741111123K. Marchlewski1.9594100LSep 12 · 13:05I. Dabrowski1.30461111113K. Marchlewski3.0011118162LSep 12 · 12:15K. Marchlewski3.506111141J. Glanowski1.2511134113LSep 12 · 10:35K. Marchlewski3.257712101P. Maruszak1.26111110123LSep 12 · 09:50J. Przewlocki1.6211111511113K. Marchlewski2.1561317452LSep 12 · 24:10K. Marchlewski2.0594100M. Lukaszewski1.681111123WSep 11 · 23:20K. Marchlewski2.3011611113K. Sulkowski1.55711271WSep 11 · 21:55K. Marchlewski1.9511711113D. Poloszczanski1.75711791WSep 11 · 21:30K. Marchlewski2.20915118143W. Gluszek1.571113311122LSep 11 · 20:30K. Sulkowski1.52101112163K. Marchlewski2.3012810141
W. Gluszek10
LSep 12 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski1.951112109113W. Gluszek1.75710121162LSep 11 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski1.8511814113W. Gluszek1.856111271LSep 11 · 22:15K. Sulkowski1.851111123W. Gluszek1.8567100LSep 11 · 21:30K. Marchlewski2.20915118143W. Gluszek1.571113311122WSep 11 · 19:40W. Gluszek1.901111113P. Strus1.757820WSep 11 · 18:30W. Gluszek2.25116116123D. Szlubowski1.54811911102LSep 11 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.75611491M. Lukaszewski1.9511911113LSep 11 · 16:15K. Sulkowski1.681111610113W. Gluszek1.9496111272WSep 11 · 15:25W. Gluszek1.751111113K. Marchlewski1.959750WSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113
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