TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122484
Played Sep 13Finished
Igor Dabrowski
Home
1.58
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210117––––
Milosz Piecowski
Away
2.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIgor Dabrowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1191210117––––
H2H Igor Dabrowski 23–12 Milosz Piecowski Milosz Piecowski has won 12 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:37What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (58%)
Dabrowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-12 in 35
Dabrowski
Correct
gap of 11 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dabrowski 1361 vs Piecowski 1367
Piecowski
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabrowski 60% vs Piecowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabrowski 50% vs Piecowski 70%
Piecowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabrowski -1 · Piecowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dabrowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piecowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabrowski 1.58 / Piecowski 2.15
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Dabrowski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13122484
Dabrowski1.58
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 200 of 327
Up 2–0, closes it98% 93 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it76% 153 of 201
Piecowski2.15
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 124 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back24% 48 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDabrowski7wins
AwayPiecowski3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDabrowski leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDabrowski75%3 of 4
AwayPiecowski33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dabrowski4Piecowski6n = 10Piecowski took 6 of 10
S2Dabrowski7Piecowski3n = 10Dabrowski took 7 of 10
S3Dabrowski7Piecowski3n = 10Dabrowski took 7 of 10
S4Dabrowski6Piecowski2n = 8Dabrowski took 6 of 8
S5Dabrowski3Piecowski3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDabrowskiPiecowskiD − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.238.5+3.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabrowskiPiecowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1597 vs 819 / 169250.3%48.4%803 / 1597 vs 819 / 1692Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DabrowskiDabrowski 1.58/Piecowski 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.2%
Dabrowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dabrowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 30 · 07:00I. Dabrowski331111113M. Piecowski167540
LJul 27 · 04:10I. Dabrowski46101161182M. Piecowski51128119113
WFeb 1 · 11:30I. Dabrowski4281211113M. Piecowski381110891
WJan 29 · 01:10I. Dabrowski3511112113M. Piecowski33791161
WJan 28 · 22:45I. Dabrowski45811114113M. Piecowski4111461192
WJan 23 · 14:05I. Dabrowski46851111113M. Piecowski4211118752
WJan 1 · 13:50I. Dabrowski52981112123M. Piecowski511111910102
WJan 1 · 11:25I. Dabrowski331111113M. Piecowski208570
LJan 1 · 07:50I. Dabrowski46111111582M. Piecowski48137611113
LJan 1 · 05:20I. Dabrowski4411861182M. Piecowski45811114113
I. Dabrowski10
WSep 13 · 07:40J. Glanowski1.775930I. Dabrowski1.951111113WSep 13 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.8371111672I. Dabrowski1.81118311113LSep 13 · 06:00I. Dabrowski2.4231060D. Solilo1.451112113WSep 13 · 03:40T. Piotrowski1.836740I. Dabrowski1.871111113LSep 12 · 14:40I. Dabrowski2.01115661J. Glanowski1.6651111113WSep 12 · 13:05I. Dabrowski1.30461111113K. Marchlewski3.0011118162WSep 12 · 11:50I. Dabrowski1.5591111113J. Przewlocki2.25116991WSep 12 · 10:10I. Dabrowski1.50101111153J. Rolak2.401288131LSep 12 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.861161271P. Maruszak1.8071114113LSep 12 · 08:10I. Dabrowski1.41114961B. Wisniewski2.6051111113
M. Piecowski10
WSep 13 · 14:15G. Kesik1.517101161M. Piecowski2.2911127113LSep 13 · 13:25M. Kolek1.241191313133M. Piecowski3.404111115112WSep 13 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.7011115111M. Piecowski2.0071311133LSep 13 · 10:30D. Solilo1.3311912163M. Piecowski2.9061110141LSep 13 · 09:00T. Piotrowski1.80911118113M. Piecowski1.9011671152WSep 13 · 08:05T. Piotrowski1.7010770M. Piecowski2.001211113LSep 13 · 07:15D. Solilo1.33111112123M. Piecowski2.907514101LSep 13 · 05:15J. Glanowski1.47101111133M. Piecowski2.391289111LSep 13 · 03:00P. Maruszak1.571111123M. Piecowski2.1785100WSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192
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