TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123434
Played Sep 13Finished
Gracjan Kesik
Home
1.51
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111012117611––
Milosz Piecowski
Away
2.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilosz Piecowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
7111012117611––
H2H Gracjan Kesik 12–10 Milosz Piecowski Milosz Piecowski has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:22What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (60%)
Kesik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-10 in 22
Kesik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kesik 1534 vs Piecowski 1351
Kesik
Wrong
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kesik 80% vs Piecowski 40%
Kesik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kesik 60% vs Piecowski 30%
Kesik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kesik +2 · Piecowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kesik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kesik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKesik 1.51 / Piecowski 2.29
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Kesik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13123434
Kesik1.51
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 82 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it76% 61 of 80
Piecowski2.29
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 124 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back24% 48 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKesik5wins
AwayPiecowski5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKesik66.7%4 of 6
AwayPiecowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kesik6Piecowski4n = 10Kesik took 6 of 10
S2Kesik5Piecowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Kesik4Piecowski6n = 10Piecowski took 6 of 10
S4Kesik4Piecowski4n = 8split evenly
S5Kesik2Piecowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKesikPiecowskiK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.740.4+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKesikPiecowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 594 vs 821 / 170054.2%48.3%322 / 594 vs 821 / 1700Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KesikKesik 1.51/Piecowski 2.29
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.1%
Kesik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Piecowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 19 · 24:35G. Kesik48111187113M. Piecowski4166111172
LJul 18 · 22:10G. Kesik2899100M. Piecowski341111123
LJul 18 · 15:25G. Kesik48111187112M. Piecowski44541111133
LMay 30 · 18:15G. Kesik44101011131M. Piecowski4812129153
WMay 29 · 16:15G. Kesik341112113M. Piecowski2571080
WMay 17 · 19:00G. Kesik3851111113M. Piecowski31114791
LMay 3 · 19:45G. Kesik47117101182M. Piecowski51911128113
WApr 11 · 20:10G. Kesik51145912113M. Piecowski531211111092
WMar 4 · 17:15G. Kesik4811167143M. Piecowski4251411121
LMar 1 · 15:45G. Kesik31891131M. Piecowski351111763
G. Kesik10
WSep 13 · 12:35P. Maruszak1.9591170G. Kesik1.741113113WSep 13 · 11:45T. Piotrowski2.1010260G. Kesik1.651211113LSep 13 · 10:55G. Kesik2.65631121M. Kolek1.4011118113WSep 13 · 09:45G. Kesik2.255171211133D. Solilo1.541115144112WSep 12 · 19:40D. Kotwica2.5586100G. Kesik1.411111123WSep 12 · 18:55K. Marchlewski2.70113661G. Kesik1.4091111113LSep 12 · 18:10G. Kesik2.4110810A. Wos1.461211113WSep 12 · 16:35G. Kesik1.411111810113W. Gluszek2.6059111262LSep 12 · 15:50R. Stapor1.9613115113G. Kesik1.701161191LSep 12 · 14:15G. Kesik2.5513580M. Kolek1.451511113
M. Piecowski10
LSep 13 · 13:25M. Kolek1.241191313133M. Piecowski3.404111115112WSep 13 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.7011115111M. Piecowski2.0071311133LSep 13 · 10:30D. Solilo1.3311912163M. Piecowski2.9061110141LSep 13 · 09:00T. Piotrowski1.80911118113M. Piecowski1.9011671152WSep 13 · 08:05T. Piotrowski1.7010770M. Piecowski2.001211113LSep 13 · 07:15D. Solilo1.33111112123M. Piecowski2.907514101LSep 13 · 05:15J. Glanowski1.47101111133M. Piecowski2.391289111LSep 13 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.581112113M. Piecowski2.1591070LSep 13 · 03:00P. Maruszak1.571111123M. Piecowski2.1785100WSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192
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