TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122714
Played Sep 13Finished
Tadeusz Piotrowski
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012211611––––
Gracjan Kesik
Away
1.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:01 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeGracjan Kesik to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
1012211611––––
H2H Tadeusz Piotrowski 0–1 Gracjan Kesik Tadeusz Piotrowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:01What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Kesik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Piotrowski 1364 vs Kesik 1508
Kesik
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piotrowski 60% vs Kesik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piotrowski 50% vs Kesik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Piotrowski +2 · Kesik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kesik) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piotrowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiotrowski 2.10 / Kesik 1.65
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kesik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13122714
Piotrowski2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 19 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back15% 7 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Kesik1.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 82 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it76% 61 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePiotrowski0wins
AwayKesik1wins
Kesik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPiotrowskiKesikP − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.039.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiotrowskiKesikBasisWin rate · lifetime588 / 912 vs 320 / 59264.5%54.1%588 / 912 vs 320 / 592Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KesikPiotrowski 2.10/Kesik 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Kesik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kesik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 14 · 19:00T. Piotrowski341141181G. Kesik3941113113
T. Piotrowski10
WSep 13 · 10:05T. Piotrowski2.001211113P. Maruszak1.7110670WSep 13 · 09:00T. Piotrowski1.80911118113M. Piecowski1.9011671152LSep 13 · 08:05T. Piotrowski1.7010770M. Piecowski2.001211113WSep 13 · 06:25J. Glanowski1.6011136982T. Piotrowski2.103111111113LSep 13 · 05:35P. Maruszak1.7311811113T. Piotrowski1.92311891LSep 13 · 04:50T. Piotrowski2.6061112652D. Solilo1.411171011113LSep 13 · 03:40T. Piotrowski1.836740I. Dabrowski1.871111113WSep 6 · 13:55T. Piotrowski1.391111113M. Sinicki2.702560WSep 6 · 12:40T. Piotrowski1.311111113F. Jablonski3.208930LSep 6 · 11:25T. Piotrowski1.47115981B. Wisniewski2.4071111113
G. Kesik10
LSep 13 · 10:55G. Kesik2.65631121M. Kolek1.4011118113WSep 13 · 09:45G. Kesik2.255171211133D. Solilo1.541115144112WSep 12 · 19:40D. Kotwica2.5586100G. Kesik1.411111123WSep 12 · 18:55K. Marchlewski2.70113661G. Kesik1.4091111113LSep 12 · 18:10G. Kesik2.4110810A. Wos1.461211113WSep 12 · 16:35G. Kesik1.411111810113W. Gluszek2.6059111262LSep 12 · 15:50R. Stapor1.9613115113G. Kesik1.701161191LSep 12 · 14:15G. Kesik2.5513580M. Kolek1.451511113WSep 12 · 12:35K. Rudomina1.851011961G. Kesik1.8512911113WSep 12 · 11:45D. Solilo1.589101471G. Kesik2.13111212113
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