TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122476
Played Sep 13Finished
Piotr Maruszak
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113811118119––
Tadeusz Piotrowski
Away
1.92
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:32 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timePiotr Maruszak to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
113811118119––
H2H Piotr Maruszak 5–1 Tadeusz Piotrowski Tadeusz Piotrowski has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:32What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Maruszak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Maruszak
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maruszak 1399 vs Piotrowski 1346
Maruszak
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maruszak 60% vs Piotrowski 40%
Maruszak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maruszak 60% vs Piotrowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maruszak -1 · Piotrowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maruszak) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piotrowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaruszak 1.73 / Piotrowski 1.92
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Maruszak)+1.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13122476
Maruszak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 26 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Piotrowski1.92
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog25% won 19 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back15% 7 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMaruszak5wins
AwayPiotrowski1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderMaruszak leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaruszak100%3 of 3
AwayPiotrowski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maruszak3Piotrowski3n = 6split evenly
S2Maruszak5Piotrowski1n = 6Maruszak took 5 of 6
S3Maruszak4Piotrowski2n = 6Maruszak took 4 of 6
S4Maruszak2Piotrowski1n = 3Maruszak took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricMaruszakPiotrowskiM − PBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match38.834.3+4.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaruszakPiotrowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 501 vs 588 / 91347.5%64.4%238 / 501 vs 588 / 913Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaruszakMaruszak 1.73/Piotrowski 1.92
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Maruszak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maruszak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 2 · 09:20P. Maruszak2251070T. Piotrowski341112113
WAug 2 · 04:00P. Maruszak341112113T. Piotrowski2151060
WAug 1 · 13:25P. Maruszak54141379113T. Piotrowski501211111152
WAug 1 · 03:40P. Maruszak411713113T. Piotrowski33151170
WSep 27 · 11:00P. Maruszak4371114113T. Piotrowski371171271
WSep 7 · 13:55P. Maruszak3961111113T. Piotrowski31119741
P. Maruszak10
LSep 13 · 04:00P. Maruszak2.02811116112J. Glanowski1.65117511133WSep 13 · 03:00P. Maruszak1.571111123M. Piecowski2.1785100WSep 12 · 14:20J. Przewlocki2.461115861P. Maruszak1.4451711113WSep 12 · 13:30J. Glanowski1.7711511992P. Maruszak1.93511411113LSep 12 · 11:25J. Rolak2.7511811163P. Maruszak1.404117141WSep 12 · 10:35K. Marchlewski3.257712101P. Maruszak1.26111110123WSep 12 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.861161271P. Maruszak1.8071114113LSep 12 · 07:40D. Solilo1.541111113P. Maruszak2.258930LSep 12 · 06:50K. Rudomina1.8511911113P. Maruszak1.85911481WSep 12 · 06:00P. Maruszak1.8611611113R. Malinowski1.80511691
T. Piotrowski10
LSep 13 · 04:50T. Piotrowski2.6061112652D. Solilo1.411171011113LSep 13 · 03:40T. Piotrowski1.836740I. Dabrowski1.871111113WSep 6 · 13:55T. Piotrowski1.391111113M. Sinicki2.702560WSep 6 · 12:40T. Piotrowski1.311111113F. Jablonski3.208930LSep 6 · 11:25T. Piotrowski1.47115981B. Wisniewski2.4071111113WSep 6 · 10:10K. Golaszewski2.474101151T. Piotrowski1.4611128113LSep 6 · 09:25T. Piotrowski2.1561090K. Sulkowski1.601112113WSep 6 · 08:35T. Piotrowski1.401111113M. Sinicki2.656640LSep 6 · 06:55T. Piotrowski1.421111931F. Jablonski2.6013511113WSep 6 · 05:40T. Piotrowski1.541111113K. Golaszewski2.254880
Upcoming Matches
P. Maruszak
Sep 13 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.83I. Dabrowski1.81—Sep 13 · 08:30P. Maruszak2.40D. Solilo1.46—Sep 13 · 09:20P. Maruszak2.80M. Kolek1.34—Sep 13 · 10:05P. Maruszak1.71T. Piotrowski2.00—Sep 13 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.57M. Piecowski2.17—Sep 13 · 12:35P. Maruszak1.94G. Kesik1.71—Sep 13 · 13:50P. Maruszak—D. Solilo——
T. Piotrowski1 of 7 neutral
Sep 13 · 06:25T. Piotrowski2.10J. Glanowski1.60—Sep 13 · 08:05T. Piotrowski1.66M. Piecowski2.01—Sep 13 · 09:00T. Piotrowski1.66M. Piecowski2.01—Sep 13 · 10:05T. Piotrowski2.00P. Maruszak1.71—Sep 13 · 11:45T. Piotrowski2.09G. Kesik1.61—Sep 13 · 13:00T. Piotrowski2.60D. Solilo1.40—Sep 13 · 14:35T. Piotrowski—M. Kolek——
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