TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122486
Played Sep 13Finished
Piotr Maruszak
Home
2.02
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111171156111113
Jakub Glanowski
Away
1.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Glanowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
8111171156111113
H2H Piotr Maruszak 13–14 Jakub Glanowski Piotr Maruszak has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 15h before this match
Maruszak beat Glanowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:32What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (55%)
Glanowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maruszak 1409 vs Glanowski 1445
Glanowski
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maruszak 80% vs Glanowski 60%
Maruszak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maruszak 60% vs Glanowski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maruszak +3 · Glanowski -1
Maruszak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Glanowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maruszak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaruszak 2.02 / Glanowski 1.65
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Glanowski)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13122486
Maruszak2.02
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 19 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Glanowski1.65
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 211 of 341
Up 2–0, closes it91% 110 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it74% 156 of 211
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaruszak4wins
AwayGlanowski6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderGlanowski leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaruszak33.3%2 of 6
AwayGlanowski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maruszak6Glanowski4n = 10Maruszak took 6 of 10
S2Maruszak5Glanowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Maruszak4Glanowski6n = 10Glanowski took 6 of 10
S4Maruszak5Glanowski4n = 9Maruszak took 5 of 9
S5Maruszak2Glanowski4n = 6Glanowski took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaruszakGlanowskiM − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.843.3+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaruszakGlanowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 500 vs 892 / 180447.6%49.5%238 / 500 vs 892 / 1804Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlanowskiMaruszak 2.02/Glanowski 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55%
Glanowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Glanowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 13:30P. Maruszak42511411113J. Glanowski4511511992
LJan 24 · 06:45P. Maruszak381110891J. Glanowski4391211113
WOct 17 · 19:00P. Maruszak47511515113J. Glanowski47117111352
LOct 2 · 23:20P. Maruszak369116101J. Glanowski3911511123
WOct 2 · 21:00P. Maruszak331111113J. Glanowski235990
LOct 2 · 17:45P. Maruszak49111081552J. Glanowski503121113113
LSep 12 · 09:05P. Maruszak50111011992J. Glanowski50712911113
LAug 30 · 10:20P. Maruszak4589111162J. Glanowski45111175113
WAug 30 · 05:45P. Maruszak3811115113J. Glanowski28851141
LAug 23 · 07:10P. Maruszak601581510122J. Glanowski6313111312143
P. Maruszak10
WSep 13 · 03:00P. Maruszak1.571111123M. Piecowski2.1785100WSep 12 · 14:20J. Przewlocki2.461115861P. Maruszak1.4451711113WSep 12 · 13:30J. Glanowski1.7711511992P. Maruszak1.93511411113LSep 12 · 11:25J. Rolak2.7511811163P. Maruszak1.404117141WSep 12 · 10:35K. Marchlewski3.257712101P. Maruszak1.26111110123WSep 12 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.861161271P. Maruszak1.8071114113LSep 12 · 07:40D. Solilo1.541111113P. Maruszak2.258930LSep 12 · 06:50K. Rudomina1.8511911113P. Maruszak1.85911481WSep 12 · 06:00P. Maruszak1.8611611113R. Malinowski1.80511691LSep 12 · 04:25P. Maruszak4.255730G. Poliniewicz1.161111113
J. Glanowski10
LSep 13 · 03:20J. Glanowski2.171411111112D. Solilo1.561211137133WSep 12 · 14:40I. Dabrowski2.01115661J. Glanowski1.6651111113LSep 12 · 13:30J. Glanowski1.7711511992P. Maruszak1.93511411113WSep 12 · 12:15K. Marchlewski3.506111141J. Glanowski1.2511134113WSep 12 · 11:00J. Przewlocki2.6558100J. Glanowski1.401111123WSep 12 · 09:25J. Rolak3.15913151J. Glanowski1.28111111113LSep 12 · 07:40D. Poloszczanski2.8511117123J. Glanowski1.386811101WSep 12 · 06:55J. Przewlocki2.651110681J. Glanowski1.4081211113WSep 12 · 06:05J. Glanowski1.301111113J. Rolak3.005690WSep 12 · 04:30J. Glanowski1.50711116113B. Wisniewski2.3511991172
Upcoming Matches
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Sep 13 · 05:35P. Maruszak1.73T. Piotrowski1.92—Sep 13 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.83I. Dabrowski1.81—Sep 13 · 08:30P. Maruszak2.40D. Solilo1.46—Sep 13 · 09:20P. Maruszak2.80M. Kolek1.34—Sep 13 · 10:05P. Maruszak1.71T. Piotrowski2.00—Sep 13 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.57M. Piecowski2.17—Sep 13 · 12:35P. Maruszak1.94G. Kesik1.71—
J. Glanowski
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