TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122445
Played Sep 13Finished
Tadeusz Piotrowski
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210116117––––
Piotr Maruszak
Away
1.71
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:33 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timePiotr Maruszak to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1210116117––––
H2H Tadeusz Piotrowski 1–6 Piotr Maruszak Tadeusz Piotrowski has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Maruszak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Maruszak
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piotrowski 1336 vs Maruszak 1411
Maruszak
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piotrowski 20% vs Maruszak 40%
Maruszak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piotrowski 40% vs Maruszak 60%
Maruszak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Piotrowski -1 · Maruszak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Maruszak) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maruszak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiotrowski 2.00 / Maruszak 1.71
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Maruszak)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13122445
Piotrowski2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 19 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back15% 7 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Maruszak1.71
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 26 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePiotrowski1wins
AwayMaruszak6wins
1 of 7 to a deciderMaruszak leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePiotrowski33.3%1 of 3
AwayMaruszak100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piotrowski3Maruszak4n = 7Maruszak took 4 of 7
S2Piotrowski2Maruszak5n = 7Maruszak took 5 of 7
S3Piotrowski2Maruszak5n = 7Maruszak took 5 of 7
S4Piotrowski1Maruszak3n = 4Maruszak took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricPiotrowskiMaruszakP − MBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match33.939.1−5.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiotrowskiMaruszakBasisWin rate · lifetime587 / 912 vs 239 / 50264.4%47.6%587 / 912 vs 239 / 502Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaruszakPiotrowski 2.00/Maruszak 1.71
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.9%
Maruszak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Piotrowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 13 · 05:35T. Piotrowski31311891P. Maruszak4111811113
WAug 2 · 09:20T. Piotrowski341112113P. Maruszak2251070
LAug 2 · 04:00T. Piotrowski2151060P. Maruszak341112113
LAug 1 · 13:25T. Piotrowski501211111152P. Maruszak54141379113
LAug 1 · 03:40T. Piotrowski33151170P. Maruszak411713113
LSep 27 · 11:00T. Piotrowski371171271P. Maruszak4371114113
LSep 7 · 13:55T. Piotrowski31119741P. Maruszak3961111113
T. Piotrowski10
WSep 13 · 09:00T. Piotrowski1.80911118113M. Piecowski1.9011671152LSep 13 · 08:05T. Piotrowski1.7010770M. Piecowski2.001211113WSep 13 · 06:25J. Glanowski1.6011136982T. Piotrowski2.103111111113LSep 13 · 05:35P. Maruszak1.7311811113T. Piotrowski1.92311891LSep 13 · 04:50T. Piotrowski2.6061112652D. Solilo1.411171011113LSep 13 · 03:40T. Piotrowski1.836740I. Dabrowski1.871111113WSep 6 · 13:55T. Piotrowski1.391111113M. Sinicki2.702560WSep 6 · 12:40T. Piotrowski1.311111113F. Jablonski3.208930LSep 6 · 11:25T. Piotrowski1.47115981B. Wisniewski2.4071111113WSep 6 · 10:10K. Golaszewski2.474101151T. Piotrowski1.4611128113
P. Maruszak10
WSep 13 · 09:20P. Maruszak2.80119511113M. Kolek1.3481111982LSep 13 · 08:30P. Maruszak2.401840D. Solilo1.461111113LSep 13 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.8371111672I. Dabrowski1.81118311113WSep 13 · 05:35P. Maruszak1.7311811113T. Piotrowski1.92311891LSep 13 · 04:00P. Maruszak2.02811116112J. Glanowski1.65117511133WSep 13 · 03:00P. Maruszak1.571111123M. Piecowski2.1785100WSep 12 · 14:20J. Przewlocki2.461115861P. Maruszak1.4451711113WSep 12 · 13:30J. Glanowski1.7711511992P. Maruszak1.93511411113LSep 12 · 11:25J. Rolak2.7511811163P. Maruszak1.404117141WSep 12 · 10:35K. Marchlewski3.257712101P. Maruszak1.26111110123
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