TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122468
Played Sep 13Finished
Piotr Maruszak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711118113611711
Igor Dabrowski
Away
1.81
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:32 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timePiotr Maruszak to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
711118113611711
H2H Piotr Maruszak 9–7 Igor Dabrowski Igor Dabrowski has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:32What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.81 (50%)
Dabrowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Maruszak
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maruszak 1397 vs Dabrowski 1413
Dabrowski
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maruszak 80% vs Dabrowski 60%
Maruszak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maruszak 60% vs Dabrowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maruszak +1 · Dabrowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maruszak) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maruszak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaruszak 1.83 / Dabrowski 1.81
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Maruszak)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13122468
Maruszak1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 19 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Dabrowski1.81
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 200 of 327
Up 2–0, closes it98% 93 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it76% 153 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaruszak5wins
AwayDabrowski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaruszak66.7%4 of 6
AwayDabrowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maruszak6Dabrowski4n = 10Maruszak took 6 of 10
S2Maruszak4Dabrowski6n = 10Dabrowski took 6 of 10
S3Maruszak7Dabrowski3n = 10Maruszak took 7 of 10
S4Maruszak2Dabrowski7n = 9Dabrowski took 7 of 9
S5Maruszak2Dabrowski1n = 3Maruszak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaruszakDabrowskiM − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.538.4+0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaruszakDabrowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 502 vs 807 / 160247.6%50.4%239 / 502 vs 807 / 1602Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaruszakMaruszak 1.83/Dabrowski 1.81
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Maruszak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dabrowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 06:50P. Maruszak4271111672I. Dabrowski44118311113
WSep 12 · 09:00P. Maruszak4371114113I. Dabrowski361161271
WMay 1 · 07:20P. Maruszak50118119113I. Dabrowski4171161162
LApr 9 · 09:50P. Maruszak361161181I. Dabrowski3913114113
WFeb 8 · 12:20P. Maruszak351113113I. Dabrowski2781180
LJan 11 · 06:45P. Maruszak34117791I. Dabrowski3961111113
WSep 27 · 15:55P. Maruszak45118115103I. Dabrowski4171181142
LSep 27 · 14:40P. Maruszak27114751I. Dabrowski4291111113
LJun 14 · 09:55P. Maruszak321014441I. Dabrowski46121211113
WJun 14 · 07:10P. Maruszak4111811113I. Dabrowski29511761
P. Maruszak10
WSep 13 · 05:35P. Maruszak1.7311811113T. Piotrowski1.92311891LSep 13 · 04:00P. Maruszak2.02811116112J. Glanowski1.65117511133WSep 13 · 03:00P. Maruszak1.571111123M. Piecowski2.1785100WSep 12 · 14:20J. Przewlocki2.461115861P. Maruszak1.4451711113WSep 12 · 13:30J. Glanowski1.7711511992P. Maruszak1.93511411113LSep 12 · 11:25J. Rolak2.7511811163P. Maruszak1.404117141WSep 12 · 10:35K. Marchlewski3.257712101P. Maruszak1.26111110123WSep 12 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.861161271P. Maruszak1.8071114113LSep 12 · 07:40D. Solilo1.541111113P. Maruszak2.258930LSep 12 · 06:50K. Rudomina1.8511911113P. Maruszak1.85911481
I. Dabrowski10
WSep 13 · 07:40J. Glanowski1.775930I. Dabrowski1.951111113LSep 13 · 06:00I. Dabrowski2.4231060D. Solilo1.451112113WSep 13 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.581112113M. Piecowski2.1591070WSep 13 · 03:40T. Piotrowski1.836740I. Dabrowski1.871111113LSep 12 · 14:40I. Dabrowski2.01115661J. Glanowski1.6651111113WSep 12 · 13:05I. Dabrowski1.30461111113K. Marchlewski3.0011118162WSep 12 · 11:50I. Dabrowski1.5591111113J. Przewlocki2.25116991WSep 12 · 10:10I. Dabrowski1.50101111153J. Rolak2.401288131LSep 12 · 09:00I. Dabrowski1.861161271P. Maruszak1.8071114113LSep 12 · 08:10I. Dabrowski1.41114961B. Wisniewski2.6051111113
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