TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123137
Played Sep 13Finished
Piotr Maruszak
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111113711––––
Gracjan Kesik
Away
1.74
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:54 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeGracjan Kesik to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
9111113711––––
H2H Piotr Maruszak 1–4 Gracjan Kesik Piotr Maruszak has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Kesik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Kesik
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maruszak 1370 vs Kesik 1526
Kesik
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maruszak 20% vs Kesik 80%
Kesik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maruszak 50% vs Kesik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maruszak -2 · Kesik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kesik) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kesik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaruszak 1.95 / Kesik 1.74
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kesik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13123137
Maruszak1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 19 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Kesik1.74
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 82 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it76% 61 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMaruszak1wins
AwayKesik4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKesik leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaruszakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKesik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maruszak2Kesik3n = 5Kesik took 3 of 5
S2Maruszak2Kesik3n = 5Kesik took 3 of 5
S3Maruszak2Kesik3n = 5Kesik took 3 of 5
S4Maruszak1Kesik4n = 5Kesik took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricMaruszakKesikM − KBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match37.842.2−4.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaruszakKesikBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 502 vs 321 / 59347.6%54.1%239 / 502 vs 321 / 593Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KesikMaruszak 1.95/Kesik 1.74
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Kesik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kesik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LApr 10 · 17:45P. Maruszak4011671152G. Kesik48811117113
LFeb 7 · 11:05P. Maruszak349111131G. Kesik4011135113
LJan 1 · 16:50P. Maruszak361185121G. Kesik4371111143
WAug 30 · 16:20P. Maruszak44811113113G. Kesik3711761122
LAug 30 · 13:10P. Maruszak355111091G. Kesik4311912113
P. Maruszak10
LSep 13 · 13:50P. Maruszak2.405330D. Solilo1.461111113LSep 13 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.7011115111M. Piecowski2.0071311133LSep 13 · 10:05T. Piotrowski2.001211113P. Maruszak1.7110670WSep 13 · 09:20P. Maruszak2.80119511113M. Kolek1.3481111982LSep 13 · 08:30P. Maruszak2.401840D. Solilo1.461111113LSep 13 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.8371111672I. Dabrowski1.81118311113WSep 13 · 05:35P. Maruszak1.7311811113T. Piotrowski1.92311891LSep 13 · 04:00P. Maruszak2.02811116112J. Glanowski1.65117511133WSep 13 · 03:00P. Maruszak1.571111123M. Piecowski2.1785100WSep 12 · 14:20J. Przewlocki2.461115861P. Maruszak1.4451711113
G. Kesik10
WSep 13 · 11:45T. Piotrowski2.1010260G. Kesik1.651211113LSep 13 · 10:55G. Kesik2.65631121M. Kolek1.4011118113WSep 13 · 09:45G. Kesik2.255171211133D. Solilo1.541115144112WSep 12 · 19:40D. Kotwica2.5586100G. Kesik1.411111123WSep 12 · 18:55K. Marchlewski2.70113661G. Kesik1.4091111113LSep 12 · 18:10G. Kesik2.4110810A. Wos1.461211113WSep 12 · 16:35G. Kesik1.411111810113W. Gluszek2.6059111262LSep 12 · 15:50R. Stapor1.9613115113G. Kesik1.701161191LSep 12 · 14:15G. Kesik2.5513580M. Kolek1.451511113WSep 12 · 12:35K. Rudomina1.851011961G. Kesik1.8512911113
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