TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123437
Played Sep 13Finished
Piotr Maruszak
Home
2.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511311311––––
Dominik Solilo
Away
1.46
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:22 and never touched — 73.5% is still 73.5%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
73.5%
73.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
44 points played in total.
Set by set
511311311––––
H2H Piotr Maruszak 0–6 Dominik Solilo Piotr Maruszak has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Solilo beat Maruszak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (62%)
Solilo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-6 in 6
Solilo
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maruszak 1362 vs Solilo 1688
Solilo
Correct
both rated, 326 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maruszak 20% vs Solilo 80%
Solilo
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maruszak 40% vs Solilo 90%
Solilo
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maruszak -3 · Solilo +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Solilo) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaruszak 2.40 / Solilo 1.46
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Solilo)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13123437
Maruszak2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 19 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Solilo1.46
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 127 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it78% 91 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMaruszak0wins
AwaySolilo6wins
1 of 6 to a deciderSolilo leads 6–0, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaruszakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySolilo100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maruszak1Solilo5n = 6Solilo took 5 of 6
S2Maruszak1Solilo5n = 6Solilo took 5 of 6
S3Maruszak1Solilo5n = 6Solilo took 5 of 6
S4Maruszak1Solilo2n = 3Solilo took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricMaruszakSoliloM − SBasisWins06−6in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match26.839.3−12.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaruszakSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 502 vs 236 / 49047.6%48.2%239 / 502 vs 236 / 490Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloMaruszak 2.40/Solilo 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.6%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 13 · 08:30P. Maruszak131840D. Solilo331111113
LSep 12 · 07:40P. Maruszak208930D. Solilo331111113
LAug 2 · 03:00P. Maruszak4010121171D. Solilo4612149113
LAug 1 · 07:40P. Maruszak301141141D. Solilo4271113113
LMay 2 · 06:40P. Maruszak173950D. Solilo331111113
LMay 2 · 04:10P. Maruszak4161171162D. Solilo49118118113
P. Maruszak10
LSep 13 · 12:35P. Maruszak1.9591170G. Kesik1.741113113LSep 13 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.7011115111M. Piecowski2.0071311133LSep 13 · 10:05T. Piotrowski2.001211113P. Maruszak1.7110670WSep 13 · 09:20P. Maruszak2.80119511113M. Kolek1.3481111982LSep 13 · 08:30P. Maruszak2.401840D. Solilo1.461111113LSep 13 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.8371111672I. Dabrowski1.81118311113WSep 13 · 05:35P. Maruszak1.7311811113T. Piotrowski1.92311891LSep 13 · 04:00P. Maruszak2.02811116112J. Glanowski1.65117511133WSep 13 · 03:00P. Maruszak1.571111123M. Piecowski2.1785100WSep 12 · 14:20J. Przewlocki2.461115861P. Maruszak1.4451711113
D. Solilo10
WSep 13 · 13:00T. Piotrowski2.604810D. Solilo1.401111113WSep 13 · 12:10D. Solilo1.8511118113M. Kolek1.85371181WSep 13 · 10:30D. Solilo1.3311912163M. Piecowski2.9061110141LSep 13 · 09:45G. Kesik2.255171211133D. Solilo1.541115144112WSep 13 · 08:30P. Maruszak2.401840D. Solilo1.461111113WSep 13 · 07:15D. Solilo1.33111112123M. Piecowski2.907514101WSep 13 · 06:00I. Dabrowski2.4231060D. Solilo1.451112113WSep 13 · 04:50T. Piotrowski2.6061112652D. Solilo1.411171011113WSep 13 · 03:20J. Glanowski2.171411111112D. Solilo1.561211137133WSep 12 · 14:35D. Solilo3.10611811113G. Poliniewicz1.2911811982
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