TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119375
Played Sep 12Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
1.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111191171214118
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
102 points played in total.
Set by set
8111191171214118
H2H Rafal Stapor 13–6 Wojciech Gluszek Wojciech Gluszek has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-6 in 19
Stapor
Correct
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1427 vs Gluszek 1209
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 218 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 60% vs Gluszek 0%
Stapor
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 50% vs Gluszek 20%
Stapor
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +1 · Gluszek -5
Gluszek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.55 / Gluszek 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Stapor)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13119375
Stapor1.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 410 of 645
Up 2–0, closes it96% 204 of 213
Up 1–0, closes it82% 315 of 385
Gluszek2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 118 of 329
Down 0–1, comes back19% 35 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor9wins
AwayGluszek1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor100%7 of 7
AwayGluszek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor7Gluszek3n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10
S2Stapor8Gluszek2n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S3Stapor9Gluszek1n = 10Stapor took 9 of 10
S4Stapor3Gluszek2n = 5Stapor took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporGluszekS − GBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.526.7+11.8per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime649 / 1149 vs 849 / 178656.5%47.5%649 / 1149 vs 849 / 1786Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.55/Gluszek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 13 · 17:45R. Stapor331111113W. Gluszek196670
WJun 30 · 06:05R. Stapor341112113W. Gluszek2081020
WJun 30 · 03:50R. Stapor48911116113W. Gluszek3311451122
WJun 16 · 18:55R. Stapor341211113W. Gluszek2410590
WJun 16 · 13:05R. Stapor331111113W. Gluszek157620
LJun 7 · 19:45R. Stapor331351141W. Gluszek4115114113
WJun 3 · 11:45R. Stapor44111111113W. Gluszek28134651
WMay 26 · 09:00R. Stapor44121011113W. Gluszek331012651
WApr 22 · 09:20R. Stapor48111115113W. Gluszek33581731
WApr 3 · 19:30R. Stapor341211113W. Gluszek2110830
R. Stapor10
WSep 12 · 18:30D. Kotwica2.15571131R. Stapor1.6211119113LSep 12 · 17:45K. Marchlewski2.85111124113R. Stapor1.3535111132WSep 12 · 16:55R. Stapor2.60711611113A. Wos1.4111511682WSep 12 · 15:50R. Stapor1.9613115113G. Kesik1.701161191LSep 11 · 13:55R. Stapor1.878860B. Mleczko1.831111113WSep 11 · 12:40R. Stapor1.831111173M. Misiak1.8396150LSep 11 · 11:25R. Stapor1.858970B. Czerwinski1.801111113LSep 11 · 10:10B. Sulkowski1.751111113R. Stapor1.959880LSep 11 · 09:25R. Stapor1.7613129892M. Zagajewski1.9011101111113WSep 11 · 08:35M. Misiak1.90871161R. Stapor1.8011119113
W. Gluszek10
LSep 12 · 19:20A. Wos1.2191111113W. Gluszek3.60117681LSep 12 · 17:20D. Kotwica1.801111113W. Gluszek1.908870LSep 12 · 16:35G. Kesik1.411111810113W. Gluszek2.6059111262LSep 12 · 15:00K. Marchlewski2.2511111013113W. Gluszek1.5775121582LSep 12 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski1.951112109113W. Gluszek1.75710121162LSep 11 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski1.8511814113W. Gluszek1.856111271LSep 11 · 22:15K. Sulkowski1.851111123W. Gluszek1.8567100LSep 11 · 21:30K. Marchlewski2.20915118143W. Gluszek1.571113311122WSep 11 · 19:40W. Gluszek1.901111113P. Strus1.757820WSep 11 · 18:30W. Gluszek2.25116116123D. Szlubowski1.54811911102
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