TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119118
Played Sep 12Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711115611116118
Alan Wos
Away
1.41
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlan Wos to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
711115611116118
H2H Rafal Stapor 1–2 Alan Wos Rafal Stapor has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:18What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Wos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1423 vs Wos 1520
Wos
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 40% vs Wos 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 50% vs Wos 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +1 · Wos +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Wos) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wos form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 2.60 / Wos 1.41
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Wos)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13119118
Stapor2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 107 of 290
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 181
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 106
Wos1.41
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 101 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it86% 67 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStapor1wins
AwayWos2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderWos leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor1Wos2n = 3Wos took 2 of 3
S2Stapor1Wos2n = 3Wos took 2 of 3
S3Stapor2Wos1n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
S4Stapor0Wos3n = 3Wos took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricStaporWosS − WBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.042.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporWosBasisWin rate · lifetime647 / 1146 vs 266 / 69056.5%38.6%647 / 1146 vs 266 / 690Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WosStapor 2.60/Wos 1.41
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.6%
Wos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 5 · 13:00R. Stapor335111071A. Wos4111712113
WJul 4 · 11:45R. Stapor48117118113A. Wos4471171182
LJul 3 · 14:40R. Stapor33871171A. Wos4111118113
R. Stapor10
LSep 12 · 17:45K. Marchlewski2.85111124113R. Stapor1.3535111132WSep 12 · 15:50R. Stapor1.9613115113G. Kesik1.701161191LSep 11 · 13:55R. Stapor1.878860B. Mleczko1.831111113WSep 11 · 12:40R. Stapor1.831111173M. Misiak1.8396150LSep 11 · 11:25R. Stapor1.858970B. Czerwinski1.801111113LSep 11 · 10:10B. Sulkowski1.751111113R. Stapor1.959880LSep 11 · 09:25R. Stapor1.7613129892M. Zagajewski1.9011101111113WSep 11 · 08:35M. Misiak1.90871161R. Stapor1.8011119113LSep 11 · 07:20R. Stapor1.358911111B. Wisniewski2.8011113133WSep 11 · 06:05J. Glanowski1.721181081R. Stapor1.9261112113
A. Wos10
WSep 12 · 15:25D. Kotwica3.50613951A. Wos1.25111111113LSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 21:50K. Kapik1.441111113A. Wos2.638640LSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640WSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162
Upcoming Matches
R. Stapor
A. Wos1 of 9 neutral
Sep 12 · 18:10A. Wos1.46G. Kesik2.41—Sep 12 · 19:20A. Wos1.21W. Gluszek3.60—Sep 12 · 20:30A. Wos1.13K. Marchlewski4.70—Sep 12 · 21:30A. Wos1.44R. Stapor2.50—Sep 12 · 21:55A. Wos1.18D. Poloszczanski4.00—Sep 12 · 23:20A. Wos1.21W. Gluszek3.60—Sep 13 · 24:10A. Wos1.25D. Kotwica3.35—Sep 13 · 15:50A. Wos—K. Rudomina——Sep 13 · 22:35A. Wos—F. Mlynarski——
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