TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13112755
Played Sep 11Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
1.87
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811611––––
Bartlomiej Mleczko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:34 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Mleczko to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
811811611––––
H2H Rafal Stapor 2–2 Bartlomiej Mleczko Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:34What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Mleczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1420 vs Mleczko 1456
Mleczko
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 40% vs Mleczko 20%
Stapor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 60% vs Mleczko 30%
Stapor
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +1 · Mleczko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mleczko) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mleczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.87 / Mleczko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mleczko)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13112755
Stapor1.87
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 106 of 286
Down 0–1, comes back18% 31 of 177
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 103
Mleczko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 110 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it76% 76 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStapor2wins
AwayMleczko2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor66.7%2 of 3
AwayMleczkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor3Mleczko1n = 4Stapor took 3 of 4
S2Stapor1Mleczko3n = 4Mleczko took 3 of 4
S3Stapor3Mleczko1n = 4Stapor took 3 of 4
S4Stapor2Mleczko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricStaporMleczkoS − MBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.836.0+3.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporMleczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime646 / 1144 vs 425 / 81556.5%52.2%646 / 1144 vs 425 / 815Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MleczkoStapor 1.87/Mleczko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mleczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mleczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 22 · 19:20R. Stapor—5101161B. Mleczko—11128113
WJul 31 · 03:40R. Stapor—11611113B. Mleczko—511541
LJul 4 · 10:55R. Stapor—11138672B. Mleczko—6111111113
WJun 2 · 14:35R. Stapor—111011113B. Mleczko—512731
R. Stapor10
WSep 11 · 12:40R. Stapor1.831111173M. Misiak1.8396150LSep 11 · 11:25R. Stapor1.858970B. Czerwinski1.801111113LSep 11 · 10:10B. Sulkowski1.751111113R. Stapor1.959880LSep 11 · 09:25R. Stapor1.7613129892M. Zagajewski1.9011101111113WSep 11 · 08:35M. Misiak1.90871161R. Stapor1.8011119113LSep 11 · 07:20R. Stapor1.358911111B. Wisniewski2.8011113133WSep 11 · 06:05J. Glanowski1.721181081R. Stapor1.9261112113WSep 11 · 04:55M. Zagajewski1.95119871R. Stapor1.7061111113WSep 11 · 03:25M. Trela1.9511712922R. Stapor1.759111011113WSep 10 · 08:05F. Krcil1.90811121092R. Stapor1.801111012113
B. Mleczko10
LSep 11 · 13:05B. Sulkowski1.8591113113B. Mleczko1.851151171WSep 11 · 12:15B. Mleczko1.6912111111143M. Zagajewski1.96147713122LSep 11 · 10:35B. Mleczko2.1541191192B. Czerwinski1.63117114113LSep 11 · 09:50M. Misiak1.95116411133B. Mleczko1.74911117112LSep 11 · 08:30D. Solilo1.601111113B. Mleczko2.106770WSep 11 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.8361111113A. Linek1.86118971WSep 11 · 06:00B. Sulkowski1.9311911562B. Mleczko1.78711911113LSep 11 · 04:50D. Kosmal1.2811128113B. Mleczko3.157101181LSep 11 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.241311113113B. Mleczko3.4015671172LAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751
Upcoming Matches
R. Stapor
B. Mleczko
Nothing scheduled
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