TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13112760
Played Sep 11Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111151311117––
Bartlomiej Mleczko
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
9111151311117––
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 5–6 Bartlomiej Mleczko Bartosz Sulkowski has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Mleczko beat Sulkowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:34What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Mleczko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1509 vs Mleczko 1466
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 60% vs Mleczko 40%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 60% vs Mleczko 40%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +2 · Mleczko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mleczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.85 / Mleczko 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sulkowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13112760
Sulkowski1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Mleczko1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski5wins
AwayMleczko5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMleczko50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski2Mleczko8n = 10Mleczko took 8 of 10
S2Sulkowski7Mleczko3n = 10Sulkowski took 7 of 10
S3Sulkowski4Mleczko6n = 10Mleczko took 6 of 10
S4Sulkowski5Mleczko4n = 9Sulkowski took 5 of 9
S5Sulkowski4Mleczko2n = 6Sulkowski took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiMleczkoS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match41.541.4+0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiMleczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime555 / 1253 vs 425 / 81444.3%52.2%555 / 1253 vs 425 / 814Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.85/Mleczko 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 06:00B. Sulkowski—11911562B. Mleczko—711911113
LAug 22 · 23:20B. Sulkowski—741161B. Mleczko—11116113
WAug 22 · 20:30B. Sulkowski—1112511113B. Mleczko—131011682
LAug 14 · 14:40B. Sulkowski—7111191B. Mleczko—11137113
WAug 6 · 04:30B. Sulkowski—911811113B. Mleczko—11511692
LJun 3 · 11:25B. Sulkowski—7111081B. Mleczko—11512113
WJun 3 · 04:55B. Sulkowski—811811113B. Mleczko—11411672
LJun 2 · 07:45B. Sulkowski—81161142B. Mleczko—119117113
WMay 16 · 15:30B. Sulkowski—911711113B. Mleczko—11711972
WApr 12 · 13:10B. Sulkowski—1111113B. Mleczko—5890
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 11 · 11:50B. Sulkowski1.9211411113M. Misiak1.73811861WSep 11 · 10:10B. Sulkowski1.751111113R. Stapor1.959880LSep 11 · 09:00B. Sulkowski2.201151181B. Czerwinski1.5871113113LSep 11 · 07:40K. Wisniewski1.2211118123B. Sulkowski3.756511101WSep 11 · 06:50D. Solilo1.8559100B. Sulkowski1.801111123LSep 11 · 06:00B. Sulkowski1.9311911562B. Mleczko1.78711911113LSep 11 · 04:25B. Sulkowski1.91811712102A. Linek1.801161110123WSep 11 · 03:40D. Kosmal1.30111171142B. Sulkowski3.10139115113WSep 10 · 14:20B. Sulkowski2.4513711113D. Solilo1.491111991WSep 10 · 12:40A. Linek1.95711581B. Sulkowski1.7511411113
B. Mleczko10
WSep 11 · 12:15B. Mleczko1.6912111111143M. Zagajewski1.96147713122LSep 11 · 10:35B. Mleczko2.1541191192B. Czerwinski1.63117114113LSep 11 · 09:50M. Misiak1.95116411133B. Mleczko1.74911117112LSep 11 · 08:30D. Solilo1.601111113B. Mleczko2.106770WSep 11 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.8361111113A. Linek1.86118971WSep 11 · 06:00B. Sulkowski1.9311911562B. Mleczko1.78711911113LSep 11 · 04:50D. Kosmal1.2811128113B. Mleczko3.157101181LSep 11 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.241311113113B. Mleczko3.4015671172LAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751WAug 31 · 13:30B. Mleczko2.0091111123M. Minda1.701186101
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