TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13112402
Played Sep 11Finished
Bartlomiej Mleczko
Home
1.69
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121411711711131412
Mateusz Zagajewski
Away
1.96
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:33 and never touched — 66.2% is still 66.2%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Mleczko to win
66.2%
66.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
112 points played in total.
Set by set
121411711711131412
H2H Bartlomiej Mleczko 5–2 Mateusz Zagajewski Mateusz Zagajewski has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:33What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.69 (54%)
Mleczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Mleczko
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mleczko 1458 vs Zagajewski 1383
Mleczko
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mleczko 40% vs Zagajewski 80%
Zagajewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mleczko 30% vs Zagajewski 50%
Zagajewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mleczko -3 · Zagajewski +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Mleczko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zagajewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMleczko 1.69 / Zagajewski 1.96
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Mleczko)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13112402
Mleczko1.69
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 110 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it76% 76 of 100
Zagajewski1.96
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 45 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMleczko5wins
AwayZagajewski2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderMleczko leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMleczko83.3%5 of 6
AwayZagajewskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mleczko6Zagajewski1n = 7Mleczko took 6 of 7
S2Mleczko2Zagajewski5n = 7Zagajewski took 5 of 7
S3Mleczko5Zagajewski2n = 7Mleczko took 5 of 7
S4Mleczko3Zagajewski3n = 6split evenly
S5Mleczko2Zagajewski1n = 3Mleczko took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMleczkoZagajewskiM − ZBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match43.138.6+4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMleczkoZagajewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 814 vs 357 / 72352.2%49.4%425 / 814 vs 357 / 723Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MleczkoMleczko 1.69/Zagajewski 1.96
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Mleczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mleczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LDec 19 · 14:05B. Mleczko—119119112M. Zagajewski—811811133
WDec 19 · 05:55B. Mleczko—11911113M. Zagajewski—511991
WNov 28 · 10:25B. Mleczko—118911133M. Zagajewski—811115112
LNov 28 · 09:35B. Mleczko—611881M. Zagajewski—11911113
WOct 31 · 07:30B. Mleczko—1114117113M. Zagajewski—71691142
WMay 30 · 09:00B. Mleczko—11311113M. Zagajewski—311961
WMay 30 · 04:30B. Mleczko—1112113M. Zagajewski—91020
B. Mleczko10
LSep 11 · 13:05B. Sulkowski1.8591113113B. Mleczko1.851151171LSep 11 · 10:35B. Mleczko2.1541191192B. Czerwinski1.63117114113LSep 11 · 09:50M. Misiak1.95116411133B. Mleczko1.74911117112LSep 11 · 08:30D. Solilo1.601111113B. Mleczko2.106770WSep 11 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.8361111113A. Linek1.86118971WSep 11 · 06:00B. Sulkowski1.9311911562B. Mleczko1.78711911113LSep 11 · 04:50D. Kosmal1.2811128113B. Mleczko3.157101181LSep 11 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.241311113113B. Mleczko3.4015671172LAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751WAug 31 · 13:30B. Mleczko2.0091111123M. Minda1.701186101
M. Zagajewski10
WSep 11 · 11:00M. Misiak1.801166101M. Zagajewski1.8691111123WSep 11 · 09:25R. Stapor1.7613129892M. Zagajewski1.9011101111113WSep 11 · 08:10M. Zagajewski1.528111011113B. Wisniewski2.3711812992WSep 11 · 06:30M. Trela1.857101181M. Zagajewski1.8011128113LSep 11 · 05:40M. Misiak1.80121211113M. Zagajewski1.861014771LSep 11 · 04:55M. Zagajewski1.95119871R. Stapor1.7061111113LSep 11 · 03:50M. Zagajewski2.107118111J. Glanowski1.6011311133WSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113LSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330LSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113
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