TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123713
Played Sep 13Finished
Jakub Glanowski
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191210911112––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Glanowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1191210911112––
H2H Jakub Glanowski 13–10 Rafal Stapor Rafal Stapor has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Glanowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-10 in 23
Glanowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1444 vs Stapor 1443
Glanowski
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 60% vs Stapor 80%
Stapor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 60% vs Stapor 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski +2 · Stapor -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Glanowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 1.75 / Stapor 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Glanowski)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13123713
Glanowski1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 212 of 342
Up 2–0, closes it91% 110 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it74% 157 of 212
Stapor1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 96 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back18% 30 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlanowski6wins
AwayStapor4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGlanowski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski71.4%5 of 7
AwayStapor66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski7Stapor3n = 10Glanowski took 7 of 10
S2Glanowski5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S3Glanowski3Stapor7n = 10Stapor took 7 of 10
S4Glanowski4Stapor4n = 8split evenly
S5Glanowski3Stapor1n = 4Glanowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlanowskiStaporG − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.038.0−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime896 / 1810 vs 654 / 115649.5%56.6%896 / 1810 vs 654 / 1156Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlanowskiGlanowski 1.75/Stapor 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Glanowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Glanowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 06:05J. Glanowski371181081R. Stapor4061112113
LSep 8 · 05:40J. Glanowski228950R. Stapor331111113
WSep 2 · 11:25J. Glanowski3811511113R. Stapor31711671
LAug 23 · 06:25J. Glanowski4271111492R. Stapor49118811113
WAug 20 · 13:05J. Glanowski48713611113R. Stapor44111111742
WAug 20 · 03:20J. Glanowski3811115113R. Stapor31941171
WAug 12 · 03:20J. Glanowski341111123R. Stapor2073100
LJul 26 · 01:25J. Glanowski23112461R. Stapor4071111113
WJul 25 · 22:55J. Glanowski481151011113R. Stapor4671112882
WJul 24 · 07:15J. Glanowski40111134113R. Stapor4699111162
J. Glanowski10
WSep 13 · 16:15K. Marchlewski3.5581181372J. Glanowski1.221131111113WSep 13 · 15:25J. Glanowski1.4191111113D. Kotwica2.55116581LSep 13 · 07:40J. Glanowski1.775930I. Dabrowski1.951111113LSep 13 · 06:25J. Glanowski1.6011136982T. Piotrowski2.103111111113WSep 13 · 05:15J. Glanowski1.47101111133M. Piecowski2.391289111WSep 13 · 04:00P. Maruszak2.02811116112J. Glanowski1.65117511133LSep 13 · 03:20J. Glanowski2.171411111112D. Solilo1.561211137133WSep 12 · 14:40I. Dabrowski2.01115661J. Glanowski1.6651111113LSep 12 · 13:30J. Glanowski1.7711511992P. Maruszak1.93511411113WSep 12 · 12:15K. Marchlewski3.506111141J. Glanowski1.2511134113
R. Stapor10
LSep 13 · 16:35A. Wos1.45891111113R. Stapor2.5511119582WSep 13 · 15:00K. Marchlewski3.107850R. Stapor1.291111113WSep 13 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.8061116572R. Stapor1.341191411113WSep 12 · 22:55D. Kotwica2.359620R. Stapor1.481111113WSep 12 · 22:15W. Gluszek2.50411561R. Stapor1.4211911113LSep 12 · 21:30A. Wos1.501111106113R. Stapor2.5066121152WSep 12 · 20:05R. Stapor1.558111112113W. Gluszek2.2511971482WSep 12 · 18:30D. Kotwica2.15571131R. Stapor1.6211119113LSep 12 · 17:45K. Marchlewski2.85111124113R. Stapor1.3535111132WSep 12 · 16:55R. Stapor2.60711611113A. Wos1.4111511682
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