TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122383
Played Sep 13Finished
Kacper Marchlewski
Home
3.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811511––––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Marchlewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
711811511––––
H2H Kacper Marchlewski 1–2 Rafal Stapor Kacper Marchlewski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:52What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.29 (71%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marchlewski 1240 vs Stapor 1444
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 204 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marchlewski 80% vs Stapor 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marchlewski 40% vs Stapor 70%
Stapor
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marchlewski +1 · Stapor +3
Stapor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marchlewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 3.10 / Stapor 1.29
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Stapor)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13122383
Marchlewski3.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 42 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Stapor1.29
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 391 of 620
Up 2–0, closes it96% 195 of 204
Up 1–0, closes it81% 298 of 367
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMarchlewski1wins
AwayStapor2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderStapor leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marchlewski2Stapor1n = 3Marchlewski took 2 of 3
S2Marchlewski2Stapor1n = 3Marchlewski took 2 of 3
S3Marchlewski0Stapor3n = 3Stapor took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMarchlewskiStaporM − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.040.7−3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 346 vs 653 / 115443.9%56.6%152 / 346 vs 653 / 1154Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporMarchlewski 3.10/Stapor 1.29
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.4%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 12 · 17:45K. Marchlewski39111124113R. Stapor3335111132
LMay 2 · 02:20K. Marchlewski228680R. Stapor331111113
LMay 1 · 23:55K. Marchlewski50111176152R. Stapor56981111173
K. Marchlewski10
LSep 13 · 16:15K. Marchlewski3.5581181372J. Glanowski1.221131111113WSep 12 · 20:30K. Marchlewski3.55111188123A. Wos1.25651111102LSep 12 · 18:55K. Marchlewski2.70113661G. Kesik1.4091111113WSep 12 · 17:45K. Marchlewski2.85111124113R. Stapor1.3535111132WSep 12 · 16:15K. Marchlewski2.35681111113D. Kotwica1.4811119772WSep 12 · 15:00K. Marchlewski2.2511111013113W. Gluszek1.5775121582LSep 12 · 13:55J. Rolak1.741111123K. Marchlewski1.9594100LSep 12 · 13:05I. Dabrowski1.30461111113K. Marchlewski3.0011118162LSep 12 · 12:15K. Marchlewski3.506111141J. Glanowski1.2511134113LSep 12 · 10:35K. Marchlewski3.257712101P. Maruszak1.26111110123
R. Stapor10
WSep 13 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.8061116572R. Stapor1.341191411113WSep 12 · 22:55D. Kotwica2.359620R. Stapor1.481111113WSep 12 · 22:15W. Gluszek2.50411561R. Stapor1.4211911113LSep 12 · 21:30A. Wos1.501111106113R. Stapor2.5066121152WSep 12 · 20:05R. Stapor1.558111112113W. Gluszek2.2511971482WSep 12 · 18:30D. Kotwica2.15571131R. Stapor1.6211119113LSep 12 · 17:45K. Marchlewski2.85111124113R. Stapor1.3535111132WSep 12 · 16:55R. Stapor2.60711611113A. Wos1.4111511682WSep 12 · 15:50R. Stapor1.9613115113G. Kesik1.701161191LSep 11 · 13:55R. Stapor1.878860B. Mleczko1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Marchlewski
Sep 13 · 17:45K. Marchlewski3.35K. Rudomina1.25—Sep 13 · 18:55K. Marchlewski4.75A. Wos1.13—Sep 13 · 20:30K. Marchlewski2.29D. Kotwica1.51—Sep 13 · 21:05K. Marchlewski2.95R. Stapor1.31—Sep 13 · 22:15K. Marchlewski3.35K. Rudomina1.25—Sep 13 · 22:35K. Marchlewski3.10A. Linek1.29—Sep 13 · 23:20K. Marchlewski2.20D. Kotwica1.55—
R. Stapor
Sep 13 · 16:35R. Stapor2.55A. Wos1.45—Sep 13 · 17:20R. Stapor2.05J. Glanowski1.68—Sep 13 · 19:20R. Stapor1.45D. Kotwica2.43—Sep 13 · 20:05R. Stapor1.90K. Rudomina1.74—Sep 13 · 21:05R. Stapor1.31K. Marchlewski2.95—Sep 13 · 22:55R. Stapor1.97K. Rudomina1.69—Sep 13 · 23:45R. Stapor1.91A. Linek1.73—Sep 14 · 24:10R. Stapor1.45D. Kotwica2.43—
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