TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123720
Played Sep 13Finished
Alan Wos
Home
1.45
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811911119115118
Rafal Stapor
Away
2.55
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlan Wos to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
811911119115118
H2H Alan Wos 2–2 Rafal Stapor Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:12What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (64%)
Wos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wos 1541 vs Stapor 1451
Wos
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wos 100% vs Stapor 80%
Wos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wos 80% vs Stapor 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wos +5 · Stapor +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Wos) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWos 1.45 / Stapor 2.55
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Wos)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13123720
Wos1.45
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 96 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it98% 40 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it86% 65 of 76
Stapor2.55
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 96 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back18% 30 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWos2wins
AwayStapor2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWos66.7%2 of 3
AwayStaporn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wos3Stapor1n = 4Wos took 3 of 4
S2Wos2Stapor2n = 4split evenly
S3Wos2Stapor2n = 4split evenly
S4Wos3Stapor1n = 4Wos took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricWosStaporW − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.840.0+1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWosStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 699 vs 654 / 115539.1%56.6%273 / 699 vs 654 / 1155Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WosWos 1.45/Stapor 2.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.6%
Wos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 12 · 16:55A. Wos4111511682R. Stapor46711611113
WJul 5 · 13:00A. Wos4111712113R. Stapor335111071
LJul 4 · 11:45A. Wos4471171182R. Stapor48117118113
WJul 3 · 14:40A. Wos4111118113R. Stapor33871171
A. Wos10
WSep 13 · 15:50K. Rudomina2.0512117842A. Wos1.681091111113WSep 13 · 24:10A. Wos1.271111113D. Kotwica3.206580WSep 12 · 23:20A. Wos1.211113113W. Gluszek3.6061170WSep 12 · 21:55A. Wos1.271111113D. Poloszczanski3.356540WSep 12 · 21:30A. Wos1.501111106113R. Stapor2.5066121152LSep 12 · 20:30K. Marchlewski3.55111188123A. Wos1.25651111102WSep 12 · 19:20A. Wos1.2191111113W. Gluszek3.60117681WSep 12 · 18:10G. Kesik2.4110810A. Wos1.461211113LSep 12 · 16:55R. Stapor2.60711611113A. Wos1.4111511682WSep 12 · 15:25D. Kotwica3.50613951A. Wos1.25111111113
R. Stapor10
WSep 13 · 15:00K. Marchlewski3.107850R. Stapor1.291111113WSep 13 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.8061116572R. Stapor1.341191411113WSep 12 · 22:55D. Kotwica2.359620R. Stapor1.481111113WSep 12 · 22:15W. Gluszek2.50411561R. Stapor1.4211911113LSep 12 · 21:30A. Wos1.501111106113R. Stapor2.5066121152WSep 12 · 20:05R. Stapor1.558111112113W. Gluszek2.2511971482WSep 12 · 18:30D. Kotwica2.15571131R. Stapor1.6211119113LSep 12 · 17:45K. Marchlewski2.85111124113R. Stapor1.3535111132WSep 12 · 16:55R. Stapor2.60711611113A. Wos1.4111511682WSep 12 · 15:50R. Stapor1.9613115113G. Kesik1.701161191
Upcoming Matches
A. Wos
R. Stapor
Sep 13 · 17:20R. Stapor2.05J. Glanowski1.68—Sep 13 · 19:20R. Stapor1.45D. Kotwica2.43—Sep 13 · 20:05R. Stapor1.90K. Rudomina1.74—Sep 13 · 21:05R. Stapor1.31K. Marchlewski2.95—Sep 13 · 22:55R. Stapor1.97K. Rudomina1.69—Sep 13 · 23:45R. Stapor1.91A. Linek1.73—Sep 14 · 24:10R. Stapor1.45D. Kotwica2.43—
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