TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119592
Played Sep 13Finished
Dawid Kotwica
Home
2.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118119211911
Adam Linek
Away
1.42
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Linek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
911118119211911
H2H Dawid Kotwica 45–57 Adam Linek Dawid Kotwica has won 45 of their 102 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (64%)
Linek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-57 in 102
Linek
Correct
gap of 12 in 102, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotwica 1242 vs Linek 1459
Linek
Correct
both rated, 217 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotwica 20% vs Linek 40%
Linek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotwica 20% vs Linek 40%
Linek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotwica -1 · Linek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Linek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Linek form (40%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotwica 2.55 / Linek 1.42
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Linek)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13119592
Kotwica2.55
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog36% won 141 of 396
Down 0–1, comes back18% 42 of 232
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 145
Linek1.42
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 101 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it71% 72 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKotwica5wins
AwayLinek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotwica66.7%4 of 6
AwayLinek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotwica6Linek4n = 10Kotwica took 6 of 10
S2Kotwica7Linek3n = 10Kotwica took 7 of 10
S3Kotwica4Linek6n = 10Linek took 6 of 10
S4Kotwica4Linek5n = 9Linek took 5 of 9
S5Kotwica2Linek3n = 5Linek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKotwicaLinekK − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.841.9+3.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotwicaLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime636 / 1551 vs 780 / 167941%46.5%636 / 1551 vs 780 / 1679Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LinekKotwica 2.55/Linek 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.4%
Linek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Linek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 2 · 15:25D. Kotwica381111791A. Linek4413911113
WMay 25 · 18:10D. Kotwica351111133A. Linek2339110
WMay 19 · 01:25D. Kotwica46131210113A. Linek3811101251
WMay 18 · 22:55D. Kotwica51111379113A. Linek48811111172
LApr 25 · 05:25D. Kotwica48119117102A. Linek47411911123
WApr 25 · 03:00D. Kotwica4211119113A. Linek28731171
WApr 16 · 20:05D. Kotwica49791111113A. Linek4011117922
LApr 9 · 08:10D. Kotwica37991181A. Linek4011117113
LApr 6 · 01:30D. Kotwica581211101782A. Linek571451215113
LApr 5 · 23:00D. Kotwica541111913102A. Linek54971115123
D. Kotwica10
LSep 13 · 20:30K. Marchlewski2.2911811143D. Kotwica1.517116121WSep 13 · 19:20D. Kotwica2.4591111113R. Stapor1.47117481LSep 13 · 18:10A. Wos1.231111113D. Kotwica3.502850LSep 13 · 16:55K. Rudomina1.42128711113D. Kotwica2.50101111692LSep 13 · 15:25J. Glanowski1.4191111113D. Kotwica2.55116581LSep 13 · 24:10A. Wos1.271111113D. Kotwica3.206580WSep 12 · 23:45D. Kotwica1.71391111113D. Poloszczanski2.0011119892LSep 12 · 22:55D. Kotwica2.359620R. Stapor1.481111113LSep 12 · 21:05D. Kotwica1.76771291W. Gluszek1.90111110113LSep 12 · 19:40D. Kotwica2.5586100G. Kesik1.411111123
A. Linek10
WSep 11 · 08:05D. Kosmal1.4013580A. Linek2.651511113LSep 11 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.8361111113A. Linek1.86118971LSep 11 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.4211711113A. Linek2.60911891WSep 11 · 04:25B. Sulkowski1.91811712102A. Linek1.801161110123LSep 11 · 03:00D. Solilo1.6591111113A. Linek2.05119861LSep 10 · 13:55A. Linek2.07127861P. Blocho1.62101111113LSep 10 · 12:40A. Linek1.95711581B. Sulkowski1.7511411113LSep 10 · 11:25A. Linek2.331014113102D. Solilo1.491212511123WSep 10 · 10:10M. Misiak1.9011860A. Linek1.741311113WSep 10 · 09:25A. Linek2.3211812133B. Czerwinski1.4971110111
Upcoming Matches
D. Kotwica
A. Linek2 of 6 neutral
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