TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123707
Played Sep 13Finished
Alan Wos
Home
1.23
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112118115––––
Dawid Kotwica
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:10 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeAlan Wos to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
112118115––––
H2H Alan Wos 3–1 Dawid Kotwica Dawid Kotwica has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.23 (74%)
Wos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Wos
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wos 1549 vs Kotwica 1241
Wos
Correct
both rated, 308 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wos 100% vs Kotwica 20%
Wos
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wos 80% vs Kotwica 20%
Wos
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wos +5 · Kotwica -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Wos) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wos form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (81%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWos 1.23 / Kotwica 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Wos)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13123707
Wos1.23
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 96 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it98% 40 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it86% 65 of 76
Kotwica3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 141 of 396
Down 0–1, comes back18% 42 of 232
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWos3wins
AwayKotwica1wins
Wos leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWos100%3 of 3
AwayKotwican = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wos3Kotwica1n = 4Wos took 3 of 4
S2Wos3Kotwica1n = 4Wos took 3 of 4
S3Wos3Kotwica1n = 4Wos took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricWosKotwicaW − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match35.826.2+9.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWosKotwicaBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 700 vs 635 / 154839.1%41%274 / 700 vs 635 / 1548Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WosWos 1.23/Kotwica 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.8%
Wos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 13 · 24:10A. Wos331111113D. Kotwica196580
WSep 12 · 15:25A. Wos44111111113D. Kotwica33613951
WJan 11 · 10:55A. Wos331111113D. Kotwica169340
LJan 3 · 20:25A. Wos33711781D. Kotwica3711411113
A. Wos10
WSep 13 · 16:35A. Wos1.45891111113R. Stapor2.5511119582WSep 13 · 15:50K. Rudomina2.0512117842A. Wos1.681091111113WSep 13 · 24:10A. Wos1.271111113D. Kotwica3.206580WSep 12 · 23:20A. Wos1.211113113W. Gluszek3.6061170WSep 12 · 21:55A. Wos1.271111113D. Poloszczanski3.356540WSep 12 · 21:30A. Wos1.501111106113R. Stapor2.5066121152LSep 12 · 20:30K. Marchlewski3.55111188123A. Wos1.25651111102WSep 12 · 19:20A. Wos1.2191111113W. Gluszek3.60117681WSep 12 · 18:10G. Kesik2.4110810A. Wos1.461211113LSep 12 · 16:55R. Stapor2.60711611113A. Wos1.4111511682
D. Kotwica10
LSep 13 · 16:55K. Rudomina1.42128711113D. Kotwica2.50101111692LSep 13 · 15:25J. Glanowski1.4191111113D. Kotwica2.55116581LSep 13 · 24:10A. Wos1.271111113D. Kotwica3.206580WSep 12 · 23:45D. Kotwica1.71391111113D. Poloszczanski2.0011119892LSep 12 · 22:55D. Kotwica2.359620R. Stapor1.481111113LSep 12 · 21:05D. Kotwica1.76771291W. Gluszek1.90111110113LSep 12 · 19:40D. Kotwica2.5586100G. Kesik1.411111123LSep 12 · 18:30D. Kotwica2.15571131R. Stapor1.6211119113WSep 12 · 17:20D. Kotwica1.801111113W. Gluszek1.908870LSep 12 · 16:15K. Marchlewski2.35681111113D. Kotwica1.4811119772
Upcoming Matches
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