TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120751
Played Sep 13Finished
Maciej Kolek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1149111412119––
Dawid Jadam
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:11 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeDawid Jadam to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaciej Kolek above · Dawid Jadam below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 81 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Dawid Jadam at 58.6%
81 points played in total.
H2H Maciej Kolek 4–5 Dawid Jadam Maciej Kolek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jadam
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1652 vs Jadam 1658
Jadam
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 60% vs Jadam 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 50% vs Jadam 70%
Jadam
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek +1 · Jadam -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jadam) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 2.25 / Jadam 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Jadam)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13120751
Kolek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 174 of 448
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 267
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 123
Jadam1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 66 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 43 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKolek4wins
AwayJadam5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderJadam leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolek80%4 of 5
AwayJadam100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek5Jadam4n = 9Kolek took 5 of 9
S2Kolek2Jadam7n = 9Jadam took 7 of 9
S3Kolek4Jadam5n = 9Jadam took 5 of 9
S4Kolek3Jadam4n = 7Jadam took 4 of 7
S5Kolek2Jadam1n = 3Kolek took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricKolekJadamK − JBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match38.740.8−2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekJadamBasisWin rate · lifetime692 / 1394 vs 156 / 32049.6%48.8%692 / 1394 vs 156 / 320Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadamKolek 2.25/Jadam 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Jadam · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 4 · 02:15M. Kolek4211911113D. Jadam34911591
LJul 3 · 23:55M. Kolek371011971D. Jadam4012611113
LJul 3 · 24:20M. Kolek351111491D. Jadam4013511113
WJul 2 · 22:05M. Kolek46114911113D. Jadam4471111872
WJul 2 · 18:25M. Kolek4414711123D. Jadam3912116101
LApr 6 · 24:20M. Kolek46116111172D. Jadam50811713113
LApr 5 · 21:55M. Kolek238870D. Jadam331111113
LApr 5 · 16:00M. Kolek203890D. Jadam331111113
WMar 28 · 13:45M. Kolek55118168123D. Jadam548111411102
M. Kolek10
WSep 13 · 13:25M. Kolek1.241191313133M. Piecowski3.404111115112LSep 13 · 12:10D. Solilo1.8511118113M. Kolek1.85371181WSep 13 · 10:55G. Kesik2.65631121M. Kolek1.4011118113LSep 13 · 09:20P. Maruszak2.80119511113M. Kolek1.3481111982WSep 12 · 20:05F. Mlynarski1.506116121M. Kolek2.5011511143WSep 12 · 19:15T. Filbrandt1.53411111172M. Kolek2.38118913113LSep 12 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.36111188113M. Kolek3.0068111192LSep 12 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.61111282113M. Kolek2.20610111152LSep 12 · 15:00M. Marchlewski1.731011115113M. Kolek2.0012561162WSep 12 · 14:15G. Kesik2.5513580M. Kolek1.451511113
D. Jadam10
LSep 13 · 24:35D. Jadam1.8311710F. Mlynarski1.831311113WSep 12 · 23:45P. Jendrzejewski1.7377111162D. Jadam2.00111159113LSep 12 · 22:35D. Jadam1.803990M. Marchlewski1.911111113WSep 12 · 21:50T. Filbrandt2.1091191182D. Jadam1.67117118113WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143
Upcoming Matches
M. Kolek3 of 8 neutral
Sep 13 · 17:20M. Kolek1.50G. Kesik2.50—Sep 13 · 18:30M. Kolek1.91L. Pietraszko1.80—Sep 13 · 19:40M. Kolek2.12K. Staszczyk1.59—Sep 14 · 15:25M. Kolek—K. Staszczyk——Sep 14 · 16:05M. Kolek—J. Witkowski——Sep 14 · 17:20M. Kolek—K. Kostyk——Sep 14 · 18:30M. Kolek—A. Linek——Sep 14 · 19:40M. Kolek—K. Rudomina——
D. Jadam
Sep 13 · 16:55D. Jadam1.67L. Pietraszko2.10—Sep 13 · 18:05D. Jadam1.83K. Staszczyk1.83—Sep 13 · 19:15D. Jadam1.50G. Kesik2.40—Sep 13 · 20:30D. Jadam1.83F. Mlynarski1.83—Sep 13 · 21:25D. Jadam1.67L. Pietraszko2.10—Sep 13 · 21:50D. Jadam1.44A. Wos2.63—Sep 13 · 23:20D. Jadam1.83F. Mlynarski1.83—Sep 14 · 24:10D. Jadam2.50M. Rutkowski1.50—
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