TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13116021
Played Sep 12Finished
Dawid Jadam
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311911911––––
Marcin Marchlewski
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Jadam to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDawid Jadam above · Marcin Marchlewski below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Dawid Jadam at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Jadam 3–4 Marcin Marchlewski Dawid Jadam has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jadam
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadam 1678 vs Marchlewski 1564
Jadam
Wrong
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadam 100% vs Marchlewski 40%
Jadam
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadam 60% vs Marchlewski 30%
Jadam
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadam +5 · Marchlewski -1
Jadam
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadam)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marchlewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadam 1.80 / Marchlewski 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jadam)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13116021
Jadam1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 68 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it87% 45 of 52
Marchlewski1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 73 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeJadam3wins
AwayMarchlewski4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderMarchlewski leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadam33.3%1 of 3
AwayMarchlewski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadam3Marchlewski4n = 7Marchlewski took 4 of 7
S2Jadam4Marchlewski3n = 7Jadam took 4 of 7
S3Jadam3Marchlewski4n = 7Marchlewski took 4 of 7
S4Jadam3Marchlewski4n = 7Marchlewski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricJadamMarchlewskiJ − MBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match40.641.3−0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadamMarchlewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 317 vs 450 / 93548.9%48.1%155 / 317 vs 450 / 935Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadamJadam 1.80/Marchlewski 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jadam · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Marchlewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LMay 24 · 17:30D. Jadam47121091152M. Marchlewski531012119113
WMay 24 · 02:00D. Jadam4311911123M. Marchlewski366119101
WMay 23 · 23:30D. Jadam4291111113M. Marchlewski34119681
LMay 23 · 21:35D. Jadam32811671M. Marchlewski4011711113
WMay 22 · 19:00D. Jadam46511117123M. Marchlewski43114711102
LApr 5 · 24:20D. Jadam35911691M. Marchlewski4011711113
LApr 4 · 21:55D. Jadam391181191M. Marchlewski4381113113
D. Jadam10
WSep 12 · 21:50T. Filbrandt2.1091191182D. Jadam1.67117118113WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143LSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:25D. Jadam1.6766100K. Kapik2.101111113
M. Marchlewski10
LSep 12 · 22:10M. Marchlewski2.633640F. Mlynarski1.441111113WSep 12 · 21:00P. Jendrzejewski1.53811971M. Marchlewski2.3811311113LSep 12 · 20:30M. Marchlewski1.737570T. Filbrandt2.001111113WSep 12 · 18:50M. Marchlewski2.381111510123P. Jendrzejewski1.53971112102LSep 12 · 17:40M. Marchlewski3.0011931172F. Mlynarski1.36711119113LSep 12 · 16:05M. Marchlewski3.40118471J. Kuzmicz1.3081111113WSep 12 · 15:00M. Marchlewski1.731011115113M. Kolek2.0012561162LSep 12 · 01:30K. Staszczyk1.73119119123M. Marchlewski2.00911511102LSep 11 · 23:55J. Mitas1.6711118133M. Marchlewski2.106911111LSep 11 · 23:15T. Filbrandt1.9111911113M. Marchlewski1.80511941
Upcoming Matches
D. Jadam2 of 10 neutral
Sep 12 · 23:45D. Jadam2.00P. Jendrzejewski1.73—Sep 13 · 24:35D. Jadam1.83F. Mlynarski1.83—Sep 13 · 15:25D. Jadam—M. Kolek——Sep 13 · 16:55D. Jadam—L. Pietraszko——Sep 13 · 18:05D. Jadam—K. Staszczyk——Sep 13 · 19:15D. Jadam—G. Kesik——Sep 13 · 20:30D. Jadam—F. Mlynarski——Sep 13 · 21:25D. Jadam—L. Pietraszko——Sep 13 · 21:50D. Jadam—A. Wos——Sep 13 · 23:20D. Jadam—F. Mlynarski——
M. Marchlewski
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