TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110236
Played Sep 12Finished
Konrad Staszczyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1199111159111210
Marcin Marchlewski
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKonrad Staszczyk above · Marcin Marchlewski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 98 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Konrad Staszczyk 7–6 Marcin Marchlewski Marcin Marchlewski has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staszczyk 1650 vs Marchlewski 1603
Staszczyk
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staszczyk 60% vs Marchlewski 40%
Staszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staszczyk 60% vs Marchlewski 40%
Staszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staszczyk +3 · Marchlewski -2
Staszczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Staszczyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaszczyk 1.73 / Marchlewski 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Staszczyk)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13110236
Staszczyk1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 153 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it87% 61 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it83% 109 of 131
Marchlewski2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 71 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStaszczyk5wins
AwayMarchlewski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaszczyk50%2 of 4
AwayMarchlewski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staszczyk4Marchlewski6n = 10Marchlewski took 6 of 10
S2Staszczyk5Marchlewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Staszczyk5Marchlewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Staszczyk4Marchlewski5n = 9Marchlewski took 5 of 9
S5Staszczyk2Marchlewski1n = 3Staszczyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaszczykMarchlewskiS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.141.0−1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaszczykMarchlewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 334 vs 447 / 92756.6%48.2%189 / 334 vs 447 / 927Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykStaszczyk 1.73/Marchlewski 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 8 · 16:05K. Staszczyk—1157101M. Marchlewski—91111123
LJul 11 · 16:05K. Staszczyk—88120M. Marchlewski—1111143
WJun 27 · 18:50K. Staszczyk—11911113M. Marchlewski—711761
WJun 14 · 13:00K. Staszczyk—61211133M. Marchlewski—11108111
WJun 14 · 05:25K. Staszczyk—91111113M. Marchlewski—119591
LJun 14 · 03:00K. Staszczyk—511971M. Marchlewski—11811113
LJun 13 · 14:35K. Staszczyk—7111231M. Marchlewski—111310113
WJun 13 · 05:50K. Staszczyk—615118113M. Marchlewski—111371192
LJun 13 · 03:20K. Staszczyk—1111101032M. Marchlewski—591212113
WMay 23 · 24:10K. Staszczyk—114611113M. Marchlewski—81111822
K. Staszczyk10
WSep 12 · 24:45J. Mitas2.00116661K. Staszczyk1.7331111113WSep 11 · 23:35K. Staszczyk2.1011111113T. Filbrandt1.67881181WSep 11 · 22:50P. Jendrzejewski1.838950K. Staszczyk1.831111113LSep 11 · 13:50K. Staszczyk1.8041111442M. Kolek1.90116711113LSep 11 · 12:35K. Staszczyk2.905890M. Miastowski1.321111113LSep 11 · 11:20K. Staszczyk2.6586111412M. Nowalinski1.381111712113WSep 11 · 10:05D. Kosmal1.858101191K. Staszczyk1.8511128113LSep 11 · 09:20K. Staszczyk1.951071171K. Wisniewski1.7412119113WSep 10 · 20:05J. Mitas2.00111116862K. Staszczyk1.73561811113WSep 10 · 19:15J. Chmielowski1.9168111192K. Staszczyk1.80111139113
M. Marchlewski10
LSep 11 · 23:55J. Mitas1.6711118133M. Marchlewski2.106911111LSep 11 · 23:15T. Filbrandt1.9111911113M. Marchlewski1.80511941WSep 11 · 22:30P. Jendrzejewski1.531191111102M. Marchlewski2.38131159123LSep 11 · 21:20M. Marchlewski2.757880M. Nowalinski1.401111113WSep 11 · 19:40K. Strowski1.4081111782M. Marchlewski2.75118811113WSep 11 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski1.6191111782M. Marchlewski2.20117511113LSep 11 · 18:05M. Marchlewski2.00311891T. Filbrandt1.7311911113LSep 11 · 16:55M. Marchlewski1.833540J. Mitas1.831111113WAug 23 · 23:20F. Mlynarski1.3069141192M. Marchlewski3.401111127113LAug 23 · 22:35M. Kolek1.8311115113M. Marchlewski1.83981171
Upcoming Matches
K. Staszczyk
Nothing scheduled
M. Marchlewski1 of 9 neutral
Sep 12 · 15:00M. Marchlewski—M. Kolek——Sep 12 · 16:05M. Marchlewski—J. Kuzmicz——Sep 12 · 17:40M. Marchlewski—F. Mlynarski——Sep 12 · 18:50M. Marchlewski—P. Jendrzejewski——Sep 12 · 20:30M. Marchlewski—T. Filbrandt——Sep 12 · 21:00M. Marchlewski—P. Jendrzejewski——Sep 12 · 22:10M. Marchlewski—F. Mlynarski——Sep 12 · 22:35M. Marchlewski—D. Jadam——Sep 12 · 23:20M. Marchlewski—T. Filbrandt——
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