TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115867
Played Sep 12Finished
Marcin Marchlewski
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11911751110121210
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:14 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarcin Marchlewski above · Patryk Jendrzejewski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 98 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Patryk Jendrzejewski at 56.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Marcin Marchlewski 6–7 Patryk Jendrzejewski Marcin Marchlewski has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:14What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marchlewski 1568 vs Jendrzejewski 1633
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marchlewski 20% vs Jendrzejewski 80%
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marchlewski 40% vs Jendrzejewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Marchlewski -2 · Jendrzejewski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 2.38 / Jendrzejewski 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13115867
Marchlewski2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 73 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Jendrzejewski1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 147 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it97% 71 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it81% 116 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarchlewski5wins
AwayJendrzejewski5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarchlewski80%4 of 5
AwayJendrzejewski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marchlewski5Jendrzejewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Marchlewski3Jendrzejewski7n = 10Jendrzejewski took 7 of 10
S3Marchlewski3Jendrzejewski7n = 10Jendrzejewski took 7 of 10
S4Marchlewski3Jendrzejewski5n = 8Jendrzejewski took 5 of 8
S5Marchlewski5Jendrzejewski1n = 6Marchlewski took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarchlewskiJendrzejewskiM − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.844.4−4.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 931 vs 355 / 72448.1%49%448 / 931 vs 355 / 724Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiMarchlewski 2.38/Jendrzejewski 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Marchlewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 22:30M. Marchlewski50131159123P. Jendrzejewski521191111102
WSep 11 · 18:50M. Marchlewski45117511113P. Jendrzejewski4691111782
LJul 31 · 22:30M. Marchlewski206680P. Jendrzejewski331111113
WJul 31 · 18:05M. Marchlewski51128119113P. Jendrzejewski48101181182
WJul 11 · 01:30M. Marchlewski541611610113P. Jendrzejewski53149111272
LJul 10 · 23:15M. Marchlewski4677111292P. Jendrzejewski521111910113
LJul 10 · 18:50M. Marchlewski30511771P. Jendrzejewski4211911113
LJun 12 · 15:55M. Marchlewski2595110P. Jendrzejewski351111133
WMar 14 · 20:30M. Marchlewski46671111113P. Jendrzejewski4111112982
LMar 14 · 16:35M. Marchlewski31116861P. Jendrzejewski4291111113
M. Marchlewski10
LSep 12 · 23:20T. Filbrandt1.9161111113M. Marchlewski1.80118581WSep 12 · 22:35D. Jadam1.803990M. Marchlewski1.911111113LSep 12 · 22:10M. Marchlewski2.633640F. Mlynarski1.441111113WSep 12 · 21:00P. Jendrzejewski1.53811971M. Marchlewski2.3811311113LSep 12 · 20:30M. Marchlewski1.737570T. Filbrandt2.001111113LSep 12 · 17:40M. Marchlewski3.0011931172F. Mlynarski1.36711119113LSep 12 · 16:05M. Marchlewski3.40118471J. Kuzmicz1.3081111113WSep 12 · 15:00M. Marchlewski1.731011115113M. Kolek2.0012561162LSep 12 · 01:30K. Staszczyk1.73119119123M. Marchlewski2.00911511102LSep 11 · 23:55J. Mitas1.6711118133M. Marchlewski2.106911111
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 13 · 24:10T. Filbrandt1.832590P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113LSep 12 · 23:45P. Jendrzejewski1.7377111162D. Jadam2.00111159113WSep 12 · 22:55P. Jendrzejewski1.9112611113F. Mlynarski1.801011391LSep 12 · 21:00P. Jendrzejewski1.53811971M. Marchlewski2.3811311113WSep 12 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.61811581P. Jendrzejewski2.2011911113WSep 12 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.8311211113T. Filbrandt1.83611891WSep 12 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.61111282113M. Kolek2.20610111152LSep 12 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.6711711133P. Jendrzejewski2.106119111WSep 12 · 01:10P. Jendrzejewski1.5011116113J. Mitas2.50771151WSep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113T. Filbrandt1.839980
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