TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115863
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomasz Filbrandt
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211511911––––
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomasz Filbrandt above · Patryk Jendrzejewski below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 49 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Patryk Jendrzejewski at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Tomasz Filbrandt 11–17 Patryk Jendrzejewski Tomasz Filbrandt has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Jendrzejewski beat Filbrandt 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jendrzejewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-17 in 28
Jendrzejewski
Correct
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Filbrandt 1523 vs Jendrzejewski 1661
Jendrzejewski
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Filbrandt 40% vs Jendrzejewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Filbrandt 20% vs Jendrzejewski 60%
Jendrzejewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Filbrandt +1 · Jendrzejewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jendrzejewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilbrandt 1.83 / Jendrzejewski 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13115863
Filbrandt1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Jendrzejewski1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFilbrandt3wins
AwayJendrzejewski7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJendrzejewski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFilbrandt60%3 of 5
AwayJendrzejewski100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Filbrandt5Jendrzejewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Filbrandt4Jendrzejewski6n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S3Filbrandt1Jendrzejewski9n = 10Jendrzejewski took 9 of 10
S4Filbrandt1Jendrzejewski4n = 5Jendrzejewski took 4 of 5
S5Filbrandt2Jendrzejewski1n = 3Filbrandt took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricFilbrandtJendrzejewskiF − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.037.4−3.4per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilbrandtJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime688 / 1294 vs 358 / 73053.2%49%688 / 1294 vs 358 / 730Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiFilbrandt 1.83/Jendrzejewski 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 24:10T. Filbrandt162590P. Jendrzejewski331111113
LSep 12 · 18:05T. Filbrandt34611891P. Jendrzejewski3511211113
LSep 12 · 24:20T. Filbrandt269980P. Jendrzejewski331111113
LSep 11 · 21:45T. Filbrandt29101090P. Jendrzejewski351212113
LSep 5 · 22:35T. Filbrandt258980P. Jendrzejewski331111113
WSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt49121177123P. Jendrzejewski491071111102
LSep 4 · 23:15T. Filbrandt35119691P. Jendrzejewski4181111113
WSep 4 · 18:50T. Filbrandt48111177123P. Jendrzejewski48881111102
LAug 6 · 17:40T. Filbrandt4511781182P. Jendrzejewski46711116113
WJul 17 · 24:20T. Filbrandt331111113P. Jendrzejewski218490
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 12 · 23:20T. Filbrandt1.9161111113M. Marchlewski1.80118581LSep 12 · 21:50T. Filbrandt2.1091191182D. Jadam1.67117118113LSep 12 · 21:25T. Filbrandt1.9111761172F. Mlynarski1.80511118113WSep 12 · 20:30M. Marchlewski1.737570T. Filbrandt2.001111113LSep 12 · 19:15T. Filbrandt1.53411111172M. Kolek2.38118913113LSep 12 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.8311211113T. Filbrandt1.83611891LSep 12 · 16:55F. Mlynarski1.731111117113T. Filbrandt2.0013591192LSep 12 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.571111113T. Filbrandt2.259470LSep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113T. Filbrandt1.839980LSep 11 · 23:35K. Staszczyk2.1011111113T. Filbrandt1.67881181
P. Jendrzejewski10
LSep 12 · 23:45P. Jendrzejewski1.7377111162D. Jadam2.00111159113WSep 12 · 22:55P. Jendrzejewski1.9112611113F. Mlynarski1.801011391LSep 12 · 21:00P. Jendrzejewski1.53811971M. Marchlewski2.3811311113WSep 12 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.61811581P. Jendrzejewski2.2011911113LSep 12 · 18:50M. Marchlewski2.381111510123P. Jendrzejewski1.53971112102WSep 12 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.8311211113T. Filbrandt1.83611891WSep 12 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.61111282113M. Kolek2.20610111152LSep 12 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.6711711133P. Jendrzejewski2.106119111WSep 12 · 01:10P. Jendrzejewski1.5011116113J. Mitas2.50771151WSep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113T. Filbrandt1.839980
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