TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115952
Played Sep 12Finished
Filip Mlynarski
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113115119711119
Tomasz Filbrandt
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:35 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeTomasz Filbrandt to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Mlynarski above · Tomasz Filbrandt below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Tomasz Filbrandt at 58.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mlynarski 17–14 Tomasz Filbrandt Tomasz Filbrandt has won 14 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:35What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mlynarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-14 in 31
Mlynarski
Correct
gap of 3 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mlynarski 1659 vs Filbrandt 1587
Mlynarski
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mlynarski 40% vs Filbrandt 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mlynarski 30% vs Filbrandt 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mlynarski +2 · Filbrandt -3
Filbrandt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Mlynarski) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mlynarski form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMlynarski 1.73 / Filbrandt 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Mlynarski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13115952
Mlynarski1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 141 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it80% 102 of 128
Filbrandt2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 60 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMlynarski6wins
AwayFilbrandt4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMlynarski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMlynarski71.4%5 of 7
AwayFilbrandt66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mlynarski7Filbrandt3n = 10Mlynarski took 7 of 10
S2Mlynarski5Filbrandt5n = 10split evenly
S3Mlynarski4Filbrandt6n = 10Filbrandt took 6 of 10
S4Mlynarski8Filbrandt1n = 9Mlynarski took 8 of 9
S5Mlynarski1Filbrandt3n = 4Filbrandt took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMlynarskiFilbrandtM − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.237.3+4.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMlynarskiFilbrandtBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 295 vs 686 / 128655.9%53.3%165 / 295 vs 686 / 1286Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MlynarskiMlynarski 1.73/Filbrandt 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Mlynarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mlynarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 22:10F. Mlynarski43411101172T. Filbrandt47119124113
WSep 5 · 17:40F. Mlynarski4211911113T. Filbrandt29511761
WAug 2 · 24:10F. Mlynarski45111211113T. Filbrandt397101391
LAug 1 · 18:05F. Mlynarski511110101192T. Filbrandt47712125113
WJul 27 · 24:45F. Mlynarski551113911113T. Filbrandt3931511192
LJul 26 · 22:30F. Mlynarski331141081T. Filbrandt4281112113
WJul 26 · 20:30F. Mlynarski331111113T. Filbrandt215970
WJul 26 · 01:10F. Mlynarski3961111113T. Filbrandt34118691
LJul 25 · 22:50F. Mlynarski4471171182T. Filbrandt46117116113
WJul 6 · 24:45F. Mlynarski3711411113T. Filbrandt29311781
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 12 · 17:40M. Marchlewski3.0011931172F. Mlynarski1.36711119113WSep 12 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.6711711133P. Jendrzejewski2.106119111WSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113LSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123LSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172LSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113LSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011
T. Filbrandt10
LSep 12 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.571111113T. Filbrandt2.259470LSep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113T. Filbrandt1.839980LSep 11 · 23:35K. Staszczyk2.1011111113T. Filbrandt1.67881181WSep 11 · 23:15T. Filbrandt1.9111911113M. Marchlewski1.80511941WSep 11 · 22:05J. Mitas2.2512148732T. Filbrandt1.5710121111113LSep 11 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.911212113T. Filbrandt1.80101090WSep 11 · 20:30T. Filbrandt2.631411169113M. Nowalinski1.44168141192LSep 11 · 19:15J. Mitas2.001112113T. Filbrandt1.7391060WSep 11 · 18:05M. Marchlewski2.00311891T. Filbrandt1.7311911113LSep 11 · 16:30K. Strowski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008780
Upcoming Matches
F. Mlynarski1 of 10 neutral
Sep 12 · 18:30F. Mlynarski2.20J. Kuzmicz1.61—Sep 12 · 20:05F. Mlynarski1.53M. Kolek2.38—Sep 12 · 21:25F. Mlynarski1.73T. Filbrandt2.00—Sep 12 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.36M. Marchlewski3.00—Sep 12 · 22:55F. Mlynarski1.80P. Jendrzejewski1.91—Sep 13 · 24:35F. Mlynarski1.83D. Jadam1.83—Sep 13 · 15:00F. Mlynarski—G. Kesik——Sep 13 · 16:05F. Mlynarski—M. Kolek——Sep 13 · 17:40F. Mlynarski—L. Pietraszko——Sep 13 · 18:50F. Mlynarski—K. Staszczyk——
T. Filbrandt
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