TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115701
Played Sep 12Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114117––––
Tomasz Filbrandt
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:06 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Tomasz Filbrandt below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Kuzmicz at 56.4%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 9–5 Tomasz Filbrandt Tomasz Filbrandt has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Kuzmicz
Correct
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1794 vs Filbrandt 1594
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 200 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 60% vs Filbrandt 40%
Kuzmicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 50% vs Filbrandt 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz -1 · Filbrandt -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.57 / Filbrandt 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13115701
Kuzmicz1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite62% won 427 of 688
Up 2–0, closes it98% 176 of 180
Up 1–0, closes it81% 296 of 365
Filbrandt2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 60 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz6wins
AwayFilbrandt4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz100%5 of 5
AwayFilbrandt80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz5Filbrandt5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmicz5Filbrandt5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzmicz9Filbrandt1n = 10Kuzmicz took 9 of 10
S4Kuzmicz4Filbrandt3n = 7Kuzmicz took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczFilbrandtK − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.732.5+4.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczFilbrandtBasisWin rate · lifetime673 / 1167 vs 686 / 128557.7%53.4%673 / 1167 vs 686 / 1285Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.57/Filbrandt 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 18:50J. Kuzmicz4071111113T. Filbrandt30116491
WAug 14 · 24:35J. Kuzmicz3812411113T. Filbrandt331011751
WAug 7 · 17:40J. Kuzmicz321111103T. Filbrandt184590
LAug 1 · 19:15J. Kuzmicz361191151T. Filbrandt4213117113
WJul 25 · 23:55J. Kuzmicz46111311113T. Filbrandt31815531
WJul 25 · 21:45J. Kuzmicz331111113T. Filbrandt206680
LJul 17 · 21:00J. Kuzmicz355111091T. Filbrandt4211812113
LJul 16 · 23:35J. Kuzmicz4586111372T. Filbrandt521111811113
LJul 16 · 21:20J. Kuzmicz29791121T. Filbrandt3511112113
WJul 4 · 16:30J. Kuzmicz331111113T. Filbrandt227780
J. Kuzmicz10
LSep 11 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz1.9111881272M. Jadczyk1.807111110113WSep 11 · 13:45J. Kuzmicz1.83111011113M. Olejnik1.83512691WSep 11 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz1.73111199113K. Kolodziej2.0097111182LSep 11 · 11:15K. Strowski1.9181113113J. Kuzmicz1.801191191WSep 11 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz1.911191110143K. Wloczko1.80811612122WSep 11 · 08:05K. Wloczko2.00139110J. Kuzmicz1.731511133WSep 11 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.61412381J. Kuzmicz2.20111011113LSep 11 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz2.25511118113J. Kuzmicz1.5711551152LSep 11 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.6711115113J. Kuzmicz2.10691171LSep 11 · 03:00M. Miastowski1.61811117153J. Kuzmicz2.20119911132
T. Filbrandt10
LSep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113T. Filbrandt1.839980LSep 11 · 23:35K. Staszczyk2.1011111113T. Filbrandt1.67881181WSep 11 · 23:15T. Filbrandt1.9111911113M. Marchlewski1.80511941WSep 11 · 22:05J. Mitas2.2512148732T. Filbrandt1.5710121111113LSep 11 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.911212113T. Filbrandt1.80101090WSep 11 · 20:30T. Filbrandt2.631411169113M. Nowalinski1.44168141192LSep 11 · 19:15J. Mitas2.001112113T. Filbrandt1.7391060WSep 11 · 18:05M. Marchlewski2.00311891T. Filbrandt1.7311911113LSep 11 · 16:30K. Strowski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008780WSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113
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