TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109672
Played Sep 11Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1178118111210711
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:12 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 57.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 6–4 Marcin Jadczyk Marcin Jadczyk has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:12What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jadczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Kuzmicz
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1813 vs Jadczyk 1852
Jadczyk
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 80% vs Jadczyk 40%
Kuzmicz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 60% vs Jadczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz +2 · Jadczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.91 / Jadczyk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jadczyk)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13109672
Kuzmicz1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog51% won 136 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back31% 40 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Jadczyk1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 429 of 678
Up 2–0, closes it98% 215 of 219
Up 1–0, closes it83% 337 of 406
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz6wins
AwayJadczyk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz100%3 of 3
AwayJadczyk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz3Jadczyk7n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10
S2Kuzmicz7Jadczyk3n = 10Kuzmicz took 7 of 10
S3Kuzmicz6Jadczyk4n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmicz5Jadczyk4n = 9Kuzmicz took 5 of 9
S5Kuzmicz2Jadczyk1n = 3Kuzmicz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczJadczykK − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.437.7+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime673 / 1166 vs 985 / 168357.7%58.5%673 / 1166 vs 985 / 1683Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykKuzmicz 1.91/Jadczyk 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 06:55J. Kuzmicz3611113113M. Jadczyk34691181
WAug 16 · 04:30J. Kuzmicz4181111113M. Jadczyk29114771
LAug 10 · 06:05J. Kuzmicz361111591M. Jadczyk4013511113
LJul 27 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz27411571M. Jadczyk4011711113
WJul 27 · 04:30J. Kuzmicz511110811113M. Jadczyk4451211882
WJul 26 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz4071111113M. Jadczyk29116571
LJul 26 · 04:30J. Kuzmicz33691171M. Jadczyk4011117113
WJul 9 · 13:45J. Kuzmicz341211113M. Jadczyk2610790
LApr 16 · 07:55J. Kuzmicz45101211572M. Jadczyk511210711113
WMar 10 · 08:55J. Kuzmicz51991111113M. Jadczyk4411118772
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 12 · 16:05M. Marchlewski3.40118471J. Kuzmicz1.3081111113WSep 12 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.571111113T. Filbrandt2.259470WSep 11 · 13:45J. Kuzmicz1.83111011113M. Olejnik1.83512691WSep 11 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz1.73111199113K. Kolodziej2.0097111182LSep 11 · 11:15K. Strowski1.9181113113J. Kuzmicz1.801191191WSep 11 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz1.911191110143K. Wloczko1.80811612122WSep 11 · 08:05K. Wloczko2.00139110J. Kuzmicz1.731511133WSep 11 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.61412381J. Kuzmicz2.20111011113LSep 11 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz2.25511118113J. Kuzmicz1.5711551152LSep 11 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.6711115113J. Kuzmicz2.10691171
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 11 · 14:10K. Strowski2.7511112113M. Jadczyk1.40961181LSep 11 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.4491111862K. Wloczko2.63119911113WSep 11 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.40911913113K. Kolodziej2.75118111152LSep 11 · 10:50M. Olejnik2.00111111113M. Jadczyk1.73961351WSep 11 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.501511771M. Jadczyk1.1717911113WSep 11 · 06:55M. Miastowski2.0010111181M. Jadczyk1.7312135113LSep 11 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.0091080M. Olejnik1.731112113WSep 11 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.6711115113J. Kuzmicz2.10691171LSep 11 · 03:45K. Wloczko2.5011127113M. Jadczyk1.505101181WSep 10 · 13:45A. Grela1.80411741M. Jadczyk1.9111411113
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