TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115868
Played Sep 12Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116211118119––
Tomasz Filbrandt
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatryk Jendrzejewski above · Tomasz Filbrandt below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 69 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Patryk Jendrzejewski at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 15–11 Tomasz Filbrandt Tomasz Filbrandt has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:15What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Filbrandt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-11 in 26
Jendrzejewski
Correct
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1624 vs Filbrandt 1578
Jendrzejewski
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 60% vs Filbrandt 20%
Jendrzejewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 40% vs Filbrandt 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski +1 · Filbrandt -4
Filbrandt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jendrzejewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Filbrandt form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 1.83 / Filbrandt 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13115868
Jendrzejewski1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Filbrandt1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski7wins
AwayFilbrandt3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJendrzejewski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewski100%5 of 5
AwayFilbrandt60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski5Filbrandt5n = 10split evenly
S2Jendrzejewski6Filbrandt4n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S3Jendrzejewski8Filbrandt2n = 10Jendrzejewski took 8 of 10
S4Jendrzejewski4Filbrandt2n = 6Jendrzejewski took 4 of 6
S5Jendrzejewski2Filbrandt2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiFilbrandtJ − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.237.2+2.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiFilbrandtBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 723 vs 686 / 128749%53.3%354 / 723 vs 686 / 1287Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiJendrzejewski 1.83/Filbrandt 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski331111113T. Filbrandt269980
WSep 11 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski351212113T. Filbrandt29101090
WSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski331111113T. Filbrandt258980
LSep 5 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski491071111102T. Filbrandt49121177123
WSep 4 · 23:15P. Jendrzejewski4181111113T. Filbrandt35119691
LSep 4 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski48881111102T. Filbrandt48111177123
WAug 6 · 17:40P. Jendrzejewski46711116113T. Filbrandt4511781182
LJul 17 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski218490T. Filbrandt331111113
WJul 16 · 22:05P. Jendrzejewski47111158123T. Filbrandt44571111102
WJul 16 · 16:55P. Jendrzejewski3912511113T. Filbrandt381011981
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 12 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.61111282113M. Kolek2.20610111152LSep 12 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.6711711133P. Jendrzejewski2.106119111WSep 12 · 01:10P. Jendrzejewski1.5011116113J. Mitas2.50771151WSep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113T. Filbrandt1.839980LSep 11 · 22:50P. Jendrzejewski1.838950K. Staszczyk1.831111113LSep 11 · 22:30P. Jendrzejewski1.531191111102M. Marchlewski2.38131159123WSep 11 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.911212113T. Filbrandt1.80101090LSep 11 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski1.44711121162J. Mitas2.63116143113LSep 11 · 18:50P. Jendrzejewski1.6191111782M. Marchlewski2.20117511113LSep 11 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.50881141K. Strowski1.5011115113
T. Filbrandt10
LSep 12 · 16:55F. Mlynarski1.731111117113T. Filbrandt2.0013591192LSep 12 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.571111113T. Filbrandt2.259470LSep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113T. Filbrandt1.839980LSep 11 · 23:35K. Staszczyk2.1011111113T. Filbrandt1.67881181WSep 11 · 23:15T. Filbrandt1.9111911113M. Marchlewski1.80511941WSep 11 · 22:05J. Mitas2.2512148732T. Filbrandt1.5710121111113LSep 11 · 21:45P. Jendrzejewski1.911212113T. Filbrandt1.80101090WSep 11 · 20:30T. Filbrandt2.631411169113M. Nowalinski1.44168141192LSep 11 · 19:15J. Mitas2.001112113T. Filbrandt1.7391060WSep 11 · 18:05M. Marchlewski2.00311891T. Filbrandt1.7311911113
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