TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115864
Played Sep 12Finished
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711711115119611
Dawid Jadam
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Jadam to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatryk Jendrzejewski above · Dawid Jadam below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 89 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Dawid Jadam at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jendrzejewski 10–11 Dawid Jadam Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:14What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jendrzejewski 1652 vs Jadam 1660
Jadam
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jendrzejewski 60% vs Jadam 80%
Jadam
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jendrzejewski 60% vs Jadam 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jendrzejewski +1 · Jadam -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadam form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJendrzejewski 1.73 / Jadam 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13115864
Jendrzejewski1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 147 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it97% 71 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it81% 116 of 143
Jadam2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 83 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back21% 23 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJendrzejewski3wins
AwayJadam7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJadam leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJendrzejewski66.7%2 of 3
AwayJadam85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jendrzejewski3Jadam7n = 10Jadam took 7 of 10
S2Jendrzejewski3Jadam7n = 10Jadam took 7 of 10
S3Jendrzejewski5Jadam5n = 10split evenly
S4Jendrzejewski2Jadam4n = 6Jadam took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJendrzejewskiJadamJendrzejewski − JadamBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.737.2−2.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJendrzejewskiJadamBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 728 vs 155 / 31849%48.7%357 / 728 vs 155 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiJendrzejewski 1.73/Jadam 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jadam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 23:45P. Jendrzejewski225980D. Jadam331111113
LSep 5 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski229850D. Jadam331111113
LAug 17 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski28311681D. Jadam3911611113
WAug 16 · 15:45P. Jendrzejewski43111011113D. Jadam27612541
WAug 15 · 22:55P. Jendrzejewski48511147113D. Jadam50118121182
LAug 15 · 19:15P. Jendrzejewski4010101191D. Jadam4412129113
LJul 4 · 01:30P. Jendrzejewski21101010D. Jadam351212113
WJul 3 · 23:15P. Jendrzejewski331111113D. Jadam206770
LJul 3 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski511181111102D. Jadam49131167123
LJul 3 · 24:45P. Jendrzejewski391189111D. Jadam4271111133
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 13 · 24:10T. Filbrandt1.832590P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113WSep 12 · 22:55P. Jendrzejewski1.9112611113F. Mlynarski1.801011391LSep 12 · 21:00P. Jendrzejewski1.53811971M. Marchlewski2.3811311113WSep 12 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.61811581P. Jendrzejewski2.2011911113LSep 12 · 18:50M. Marchlewski2.381111510123P. Jendrzejewski1.53971112102WSep 12 · 18:05P. Jendrzejewski1.8311211113T. Filbrandt1.83611891WSep 12 · 16:30P. Jendrzejewski1.61111282113M. Kolek2.20610111152LSep 12 · 15:45F. Mlynarski1.6711711133P. Jendrzejewski2.106119111WSep 12 · 01:10P. Jendrzejewski1.5011116113J. Mitas2.50771151WSep 12 · 24:20P. Jendrzejewski1.831111113T. Filbrandt1.839980
D. Jadam10
LSep 13 · 24:35D. Jadam1.8311710F. Mlynarski1.831311113LSep 12 · 22:35D. Jadam1.803990M. Marchlewski1.911111113WSep 12 · 21:50T. Filbrandt2.1091191182D. Jadam1.67117118113WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092LSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143LSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113
Upcoming Matches
P. Jendrzejewski
Nothing scheduled
D. Jadam5 of 9 neutral
Sep 13 · 15:25D. Jadam—M. Kolek——Sep 13 · 16:55D. Jadam—L. Pietraszko——Sep 13 · 18:05D. Jadam—K. Staszczyk——Sep 13 · 19:15D. Jadam—G. Kesik——Sep 13 · 20:30D. Jadam—F. Mlynarski——Sep 13 · 21:25D. Jadam—L. Pietraszko——Sep 13 · 21:50D. Jadam—A. Wos——Sep 13 · 23:20D. Jadam—F. Mlynarski——Sep 14 · 24:10D. Jadam—M. Rutkowski——
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