TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120748
Played Sep 13Finished
Maciej Kolek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119112118––––
Lukasz Pietraszko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaciej Kolek above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Maciej Kolek at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Maciej Kolek 3–3 Lukasz Pietraszko Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:10What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pietraszko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1659 vs Pietraszko 1635
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 80% vs Pietraszko 20%
Kolek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 70% vs Pietraszko 40%
Kolek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek +1 · Pietraszko -4
Pietraszko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pietraszko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 1.91 / Pietraszko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pietraszko)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13120748
Kolek1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 174 of 448
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 267
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 123
Pietraszko1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 117 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it81% 82 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKolek3wins
AwayPietraszko3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolek66.7%2 of 3
AwayPietraszko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek3Pietraszko3n = 6split evenly
S2Kolek5Pietraszko1n = 6Kolek took 5 of 6
S3Kolek1Pietraszko5n = 6Pietraszko took 5 of 6
S4Kolek1Pietraszko4n = 5Pietraszko took 4 of 5
S5Kolek2Pietraszko1n = 3Kolek took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricKolekPietraszkoK − PBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.540.5−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime695 / 1398 vs 426 / 84749.7%50.3%695 / 1398 vs 426 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PietraszkoKolek 1.91/Pietraszko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pietraszko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJul 6 · 01:10M. Kolek2265110L. Pietraszko351111133
LJul 5 · 22:50M. Kolek47111161092L. Pietraszko47941112113
WJun 14 · 20:40M. Kolek43111146113L. Pietraszko3965111162
WMay 4 · 19:40M. Kolek4291111113L. Pietraszko34118871
WApr 27 · 08:10M. Kolek46111167113L. Pietraszko4359111172
LMar 2 · 17:15M. Kolek3711114111L. Pietraszko4513811133
M. Kolek10
LSep 13 · 19:40M. Kolek2.20611611102K. Staszczyk1.61115114123WSep 13 · 17:20M. Kolek1.501011118153G. Kesik2.50124211132LSep 13 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4451111113M. Kolek2.63118411WSep 13 · 15:25M. Kolek2.2511914113D. Jadam1.574111291WSep 13 · 14:35T. Piotrowski3.055580M. Kolek1.291111113WSep 13 · 13:25M. Kolek1.241191313133M. Piecowski3.404111115112LSep 13 · 12:10D. Solilo1.8511118113M. Kolek1.85371181WSep 13 · 10:55G. Kesik2.65631121M. Kolek1.4011118113LSep 13 · 09:20P. Maruszak2.80119511113M. Kolek1.3481111982WSep 12 · 20:05F. Mlynarski1.506116121M. Kolek2.5011511143
L. Pietraszko10
LSep 13 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.441111113L. Pietraszko2.637470LSep 13 · 16:55L. Pietraszko2.10118371D. Jadam1.6781111113LSep 13 · 15:45L. Pietraszko2.38119971K. Staszczyk1.5381111113LSep 9 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.571512133L. Pietraszko2.251310110WSep 8 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.44118971L. Pietraszko2.6381111113WSep 8 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.0081111482L. Pietraszko1.73119911113LSep 8 · 21:25K. Kapik1.73111311113L. Pietraszko2.00815571LSep 8 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.0081151162M. Rutkowski1.36119117113WSep 8 · 18:30A. Daniel1.33851171L. Pietraszko3.2511117113WSep 8 · 17:40K. Kostyk2.2081313852L. Pietraszko1.6111111111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Kolek1 of 5 neutral
L. Pietraszko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.