TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122145
Played Sep 13Finished
Lukasz Pietraszko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118811311711––
Dawid Jadam
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeDawid Jadam to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukasz Pietraszko above · Dawid Jadam below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 7-10
Point 69 set 4, 7-10 — our read held Dawid Jadam at 56.3%
69 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Lukasz Pietraszko 8–8 Dawid Jadam Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:55What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jadam
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pietraszko 1670 vs Jadam 1636
Pietraszko
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pietraszko 40% vs Jadam 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pietraszko 50% vs Jadam 70%
Jadam
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pietraszko -2 · Jadam -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jadam) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadam form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPietraszko 2.10 / Jadam 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Jadam)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13122145
Pietraszko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 95 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back18% 27 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 91
Jadam1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 66 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 43 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePietraszko5wins
AwayJadam5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePietraszko100%4 of 4
AwayJadam83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pietraszko4Jadam6n = 10Jadam took 6 of 10
S2Pietraszko5Jadam5n = 10split evenly
S3Pietraszko6Jadam4n = 10Pietraszko took 6 of 10
S4Pietraszko3Jadam4n = 7Jadam took 4 of 7
S5Pietraszko2Jadam2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPietraszkoJadamP − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.538.2+1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPietraszkoJadamBasisWin rate · lifetime426 / 845 vs 156 / 32150.4%48.6%426 / 845 vs 156 / 321Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadamPietraszko 2.10/Jadam 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Jadam · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jadam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 22:55L. Pietraszko4791111792D. Jadam46115811113
WSep 6 · 18:30L. Pietraszko371211143D. Jadam27105120
LAug 16 · 23:45L. Pietraszko35911781D. Jadam3811511113
LAug 16 · 16:30L. Pietraszko215970D. Jadam331111113
LJul 2 · 24:45L. Pietraszko2991370D. Jadam371115113
WJul 1 · 22:30L. Pietraszko4112711113D. Jadam321011561
WJul 1 · 20:30L. Pietraszko46111167113D. Jadam4369111162
WJun 21 · 23:55L. Pietraszko48871111113D. Jadam3711116272
WJun 21 · 21:45L. Pietraszko4011711113D. Jadam33911851
LJun 21 · 18:05L. Pietraszko51111213872D. Jadam5613101111113
L. Pietraszko10
LSep 13 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.441111113L. Pietraszko2.637470LSep 13 · 15:45L. Pietraszko2.38119971K. Staszczyk1.5381111113LSep 9 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.571512133L. Pietraszko2.251310110WSep 8 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.44118971L. Pietraszko2.6381111113WSep 8 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.0081111482L. Pietraszko1.73119911113LSep 8 · 21:25K. Kapik1.73111311113L. Pietraszko2.00815571LSep 8 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.0081151162M. Rutkowski1.36119117113WSep 8 · 18:30A. Daniel1.33851171L. Pietraszko3.2511117113WSep 8 · 17:40K. Kostyk2.2081313852L. Pietraszko1.6111111111113WSep 8 · 16:55L. Pietraszko2.10631111113K. Kapik1.6711116982
D. Jadam10
LSep 13 · 15:25M. Kolek2.2511914113D. Jadam1.574111291LSep 13 · 24:35D. Jadam1.8311710F. Mlynarski1.831311113WSep 12 · 23:45P. Jendrzejewski1.7377111162D. Jadam2.00111159113LSep 12 · 22:35D. Jadam1.803990M. Marchlewski1.911111113WSep 12 · 21:50T. Filbrandt2.1091191182D. Jadam1.67117118113WSep 7 · 24:10K. Kapik2.251261081D. Jadam1.57101112113WSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172WSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092
Upcoming Matches
L. Pietraszko
D. Jadam
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.