TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093543
Played Sep 8Finished
Lukasz Pietraszko
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811119511117611
Mateusz Rutkowski
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:34 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeMateusz Rutkowski to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukasz Pietraszko above · Mateusz Rutkowski below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-10
Point 89 set 5, 6-10 — our read held Mateusz Rutkowski at 58.8%
89 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Lukasz Pietraszko 5–13 Mateusz Rutkowski Lukasz Pietraszko has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:34What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Rutkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Rutkowski
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pietraszko 1729 vs Rutkowski 1715
Pietraszko
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pietraszko 80% vs Rutkowski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pietraszko 70% vs Rutkowski 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pietraszko +3 · Rutkowski -1
Pietraszko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Rutkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPietraszko 3.00 / Rutkowski 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Rutkowski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13093543
Pietraszko3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 102 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 91
Rutkowski1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 378 of 546
Up 2–0, closes it96% 187 of 194
Up 1–0, closes it89% 301 of 338
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePietraszko1wins
AwayRutkowski9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRutkowski leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePietraszko16.7%1 of 6
AwayRutkowski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pietraszko6Rutkowski4n = 10Pietraszko took 6 of 10
S2Pietraszko4Rutkowski6n = 10Rutkowski took 6 of 10
S3Pietraszko1Rutkowski9n = 10Rutkowski took 9 of 10
S4Pietraszko2Rutkowski5n = 7Rutkowski took 5 of 7
S5Pietraszko0Rutkowski3n = 3Rutkowski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPietraszkoRutkowskiP − RBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.440.3−2.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPietraszkoRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 849 vs 776 / 138250.3%56.2%427 / 849 vs 776 / 1382Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RutkowskiPietraszko 3.00/Rutkowski 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Rutkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 23 · 23:15L. Pietraszko—1171271M. Rutkowski—61114113
LJul 23 · 21:00L. Pietraszko—11881152M. Rutkowski—311118113
LJul 21 · 24:20L. Pietraszko—6141081M. Rutkowski—111212113
LJul 20 · 22:05L. Pietraszko—1110911152M. Rutkowski—912117173
LJul 5 · 18:30L. Pietraszko—611691M. Rutkowski—11311113
LJul 2 · 24:20L. Pietraszko—11980M. Rutkowski—1311113
LJul 1 · 22:05L. Pietraszko—91190M. Rutkowski—1113113
WJun 21 · 16:30L. Pietraszko—1111113M. Rutkowski—5770
LJun 17 · 23:35L. Pietraszko—111161072M. Rutkowski—491112113
LJun 17 · 21:20L. Pietraszko—129841M. Rutkowski—101111113
L. Pietraszko10
LSep 8 · 21:25K. Kapik1.73111311113L. Pietraszko2.00815571WSep 8 · 18:30A. Daniel1.33851171L. Pietraszko3.2511117113WSep 8 · 17:40K. Kostyk2.2081313852L. Pietraszko1.6111111111113WSep 8 · 16:55L. Pietraszko2.10631111113K. Kapik1.6711116982LSep 8 · 15:45L. Pietraszko3.0021140K. Glazowski1.361113113WSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123WSep 6 · 21:25K. Kapik1.671091181L. Pietraszko2.1012119113LSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113
M. Rutkowski10
WSep 8 · 21:00M. Rutkowski1.5011118113K. Kostyk2.50761111LSep 8 · 19:15K. Kapik2.001111113M. Rutkowski1.736980WSep 8 · 17:20A. Daniel1.611198121M. Rutkowski2.2081111143WSep 8 · 16:30K. Glazowski1.73101151162M. Rutkowski2.00128117113WSep 8 · 15:00K. Kostyk2.25610100M. Rutkowski1.571112123WSep 8 · 24:10M. Rutkowski1.501111143K. Kostyk2.5097120LSep 7 · 23:20M. Rutkowski2.00911101562K. Staszczyk1.731181213113WSep 7 · 21:50M. Rutkowski1.171111113B. Sulkowski4.507880WSep 7 · 21:25M. Rutkowski1.73714413113K. Kapik2.001112111182WSep 7 · 20:30K. Staszczyk1.73781111112M. Rutkowski2.00111168133
Upcoming Matches
L. Pietraszko
M. Rutkowski3 of 7 neutral
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.