TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119821
Played Sep 13Finished
Lukasz Pietraszko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911911711––
Konrad Staszczyk
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukasz Pietraszko above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 77 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 57.8%
77 points played in total.
H2H Lukasz Pietraszko 3–4 Konrad Staszczyk Lukasz Pietraszko has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pietraszko 1708 vs Staszczyk 1659
Pietraszko
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pietraszko 40% vs Staszczyk 80%
Staszczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pietraszko 60% vs Staszczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pietraszko -1 · Staszczyk +4
Staszczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Staszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPietraszko 2.38 / Staszczyk 1.53
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Staszczyk)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13119821
Pietraszko2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 95 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back18% 27 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 91
Staszczyk1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 151 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it88% 60 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it84% 108 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePietraszko3wins
AwayStaszczyk4wins
1 of 7 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePietraszko100%3 of 3
AwayStaszczyk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pietraszko3Staszczyk4n = 7Staszczyk took 4 of 7
S2Pietraszko3Staszczyk4n = 7Staszczyk took 4 of 7
S3Pietraszko4Staszczyk3n = 7Pietraszko took 4 of 7
S4Pietraszko0Staszczyk3n = 3Staszczyk took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricPietraszkoStaszczykP − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match36.037.9−1.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPietraszkoStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime429 / 854 vs 190 / 33550.2%56.7%429 / 854 vs 190 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykPietraszko 2.38/Staszczyk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 9 · 24:35L. Pietraszko341310110K. Staszczyk401512133
LJul 16 · 24:20L. Pietraszko35891171K. Staszczyk4111118113
LJul 15 · 22:05L. Pietraszko35971451K. Staszczyk45111112113
WJul 15 · 16:55L. Pietraszko52111596113K. Staszczyk48813111152
LJun 29 · 01:10L. Pietraszko2651470K. Staszczyk381116113
WJun 28 · 22:50L. Pietraszko341112113K. Staszczyk2491050
WApr 27 · 15:25L. Pietraszko361213113K. Staszczyk29101180
L. Pietraszko10
LSep 9 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.571512133L. Pietraszko2.251310110WSep 8 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.44118971L. Pietraszko2.6381111113WSep 8 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.0081111482L. Pietraszko1.73119911113LSep 8 · 21:25K. Kapik1.73111311113L. Pietraszko2.00815571LSep 8 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.0081151162M. Rutkowski1.36119117113WSep 8 · 18:30A. Daniel1.33851171L. Pietraszko3.2511117113WSep 8 · 17:40K. Kostyk2.2081313852L. Pietraszko1.6111111111113WSep 8 · 16:55L. Pietraszko2.10631111113K. Kapik1.6711116982LSep 8 · 15:45L. Pietraszko3.0021140K. Glazowski1.361113113WSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123
K. Staszczyk10
LSep 13 · 16:30K. Staszczyk1.53119113122G. Kesik2.38711411143WSep 12 · 01:30K. Staszczyk1.73119119123M. Marchlewski2.00911511102WSep 12 · 24:45J. Mitas2.00116661K. Staszczyk1.7331111113WSep 11 · 23:35K. Staszczyk2.1011111113T. Filbrandt1.67881181WSep 11 · 22:50P. Jendrzejewski1.838950K. Staszczyk1.831111113LSep 11 · 13:50K. Staszczyk1.8041111442M. Kolek1.90116711113LSep 11 · 12:35K. Staszczyk2.905890M. Miastowski1.321111113LSep 11 · 11:20K. Staszczyk2.6586111412M. Nowalinski1.381111712113WSep 11 · 10:05D. Kosmal1.858101191K. Staszczyk1.8511128113WSep 9 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.571512133L. Pietraszko2.251310110
Upcoming Matches
L. Pietraszko
Sep 13 · 17:40L. Pietraszko2.63F. Mlynarski1.44—Sep 13 · 18:30L. Pietraszko1.80M. Kolek1.91—Sep 13 · 20:05L. Pietraszko1.53G. Kesik2.38—Sep 13 · 21:25L. Pietraszko2.10D. Jadam1.67—Sep 13 · 22:10L. Pietraszko2.63F. Mlynarski1.44—Sep 13 · 22:55L. Pietraszko3.00M. Rutkowski1.36—Sep 14 · 24:35L. Pietraszko1.61A. Wos2.20—
K. Staszczyk3 of 10 neutral
Sep 13 · 18:05K. Staszczyk1.83D. Jadam1.83—Sep 13 · 18:50K. Staszczyk2.50F. Mlynarski1.50—Sep 13 · 19:40K. Staszczyk1.61M. Kolek2.20—Sep 14 · 15:25K. Staszczyk—M. Kolek——Sep 14 · 16:55K. Staszczyk—A. Linek——Sep 14 · 18:05K. Staszczyk—K. Rudomina——Sep 14 · 19:15K. Staszczyk—K. Kostyk——Sep 14 · 20:30K. Staszczyk—J. Witkowski——Sep 14 · 21:25K. Staszczyk—J. Lamperski——Sep 14 · 21:50K. Staszczyk—D. Solilo——
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