TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093442
Played Sep 9Finished
Konrad Staszczyk
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
151312101311––––
Lukasz Pietraszko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:07 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeLukasz Pietraszko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKonrad Staszczyk above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 74 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Lukasz Pietraszko at 55.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Konrad Staszczyk 3–3 Lukasz Pietraszko Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:07What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staszczyk 1630 vs Pietraszko 1726
Pietraszko
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staszczyk 80% vs Pietraszko 60%
Staszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staszczyk 60% vs Pietraszko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Staszczyk +2 · Pietraszko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Staszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaszczyk 1.57 / Pietraszko 2.25
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Staszczyk)-4.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13093442
Staszczyk1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 147 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it87% 58 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it83% 106 of 128
Pietraszko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 102 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeStaszczyk3wins
AwayPietraszko3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaszczyk100%3 of 3
AwayPietraszko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staszczyk3Pietraszko3n = 6split evenly
S2Staszczyk3Pietraszko3n = 6split evenly
S3Staszczyk2Pietraszko4n = 6Pietraszko took 4 of 6
S4Staszczyk3Pietraszko0n = 3Staszczyk took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricStaszczykPietraszkoS − PBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match37.536.3+1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaszczykPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 316 vs 429 / 85357%50.3%180 / 316 vs 429 / 853Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykStaszczyk 1.57/Pietraszko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 16 · 24:20K. Staszczyk—11118113L. Pietraszko—891171
WJul 15 · 22:05K. Staszczyk—111112113L. Pietraszko—971451
LJul 15 · 16:55K. Staszczyk—813111152L. Pietraszko—111596113
WJun 29 · 01:10K. Staszczyk—1116113L. Pietraszko—51470
LJun 28 · 22:50K. Staszczyk—91050L. Pietraszko—1112113
LApr 27 · 15:25K. Staszczyk—101180L. Pietraszko—1213113
K. Staszczyk10
WSep 8 · 23:45M. Rutkowski1.83116111182K. Staszczyk1.83411135113WSep 8 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.539111511113K. Kostyk2.3811517482LSep 8 · 21:50K. Kapik2.00111011113K. Staszczyk1.73912871WSep 7 · 23:20M. Rutkowski2.00911101562K. Staszczyk1.731181213113WSep 7 · 22:35B. Sulkowski3.5095100K. Staszczyk1.281111123LSep 7 · 22:10K. Staszczyk1.9191190K. Kapik1.801113113WSep 7 · 21:00K. Kostyk2.2071181862K. Staszczyk1.611161116113LSep 7 · 20:30K. Staszczyk1.73781111112M. Rutkowski2.00111168133WSep 7 · 18:50K. Staszczyk2.50111387113K. Glazowski1.50911111182LSep 7 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.8391161182K. Kapik1.83117119113
L. Pietraszko10
WSep 8 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.44118971L. Pietraszko2.6381111113WSep 8 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.0081111482L. Pietraszko1.73119911113LSep 8 · 21:25K. Kapik1.73111311113L. Pietraszko2.00815571LSep 8 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.0081151162M. Rutkowski1.36119117113WSep 8 · 18:30A. Daniel1.33851171L. Pietraszko3.2511117113WSep 8 · 17:40K. Kostyk2.2081313852L. Pietraszko1.6111111111113WSep 8 · 16:55L. Pietraszko2.10631111113K. Kapik1.6711116982LSep 8 · 15:45L. Pietraszko3.0021140K. Glazowski1.361113113WSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792
Upcoming Matches
K. Staszczyk2 of 4 neutral
L. Pietraszko
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.