TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125524
Played Sep 14Finished
Adam Linek
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711116119511116
Konrad Staszczyk
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:55 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Linek above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 88 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 60.4%
88 points played in total.
H2H Adam Linek 1–1 Konrad Staszczyk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:55What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Staszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Linek 1475 vs Staszczyk 1687
Staszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 212 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Linek 80% vs Staszczyk 60%
Linek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Linek 60% vs Staszczyk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Linek +1 · Staszczyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Staszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLinek 3.00 / Staszczyk 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Staszczyk)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13125524
Linek3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 146 of 356
Down 0–1, comes back26% 52 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 94
Staszczyk1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 153 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it88% 60 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 109 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLinek1wins
AwayStaszczyk1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLinekStaszczykL − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match47.044.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLinekStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime784 / 1683 vs 193 / 34046.6%56.8%784 / 1683 vs 193 / 340Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykLinek 3.00/Staszczyk 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.6%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Linek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 21 · 18:10A. Linek47128111152K. Staszczyk49141176113
WMay 17 · 16:25A. Linek4711118173K. Staszczyk398511151
A. Linek10
WSep 14 · 17:40J. Witkowski1.537111081A. Linek2.3811812113WSep 14 · 15:45A. Linek1.731151110123K. Rudomina2.00911912102LSep 14 · 24:35A. Linek1.884990K. Rudomina1.821111113WSep 13 · 23:45R. Stapor1.9048111162A. Linek1.75111159113WSep 13 · 22:35A. Linek1.3011118123K. Marchlewski3.108911101WSep 13 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.5591111292A. Linek1.42118911113WSep 11 · 08:05D. Kosmal1.4013580A. Linek2.651511113LSep 11 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.8361111113A. Linek1.86118971LSep 11 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.4211711113A. Linek2.60911891WSep 11 · 04:25B. Sulkowski1.91811712102A. Linek1.801161110123
K. Staszczyk10
LSep 14 · 15:25M. Kolek2.103K. Staszczyk1.670WSep 13 · 19:40M. Kolek2.20611611102K. Staszczyk1.61115114123WSep 13 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.5091070K. Staszczyk2.501112113LSep 13 · 18:05K. Staszczyk1.837380D. Jadam1.831111113LSep 13 · 16:30K. Staszczyk1.53119113122G. Kesik2.38711411143WSep 13 · 15:45L. Pietraszko2.38119971K. Staszczyk1.5381111113WSep 12 · 01:30K. Staszczyk1.73119119123M. Marchlewski2.00911511102WSep 12 · 24:45J. Mitas2.00116661K. Staszczyk1.7331111113WSep 11 · 23:35K. Staszczyk2.1011111113T. Filbrandt1.67881181WSep 11 · 22:50P. Jendrzejewski1.838950K. Staszczyk1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Linek
Sep 14 · 18:30A. Linek2.20M. Kolek1.61—Sep 14 · 20:05A. Linek1.83K. Kostyk1.83—Sep 14 · 21:00A. Linek2.45K. Kostyk1.44—Sep 14 · 22:10A. Linek1.30J. Lamperski3.40—Sep 14 · 22:35A. Linek2.25D. Solilo1.57—Sep 14 · 23:20A. Linek2.75K. Staszczyk1.40—Sep 15 · 15:00A. Linek—K. Kostyk——Sep 15 · 16:30A. Linek—J. Witkowski——Sep 15 · 17:20A. Linek—J. Lamperski——Sep 15 · 19:15A. Linek—L. Pietraszko——
K. Staszczyk
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