TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13127360
Played Sep 14Finished
Adam Linek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11951111910121210
Kamil Rudomina
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:14 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Linek to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Linek above · Kamil Rudomina below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 100 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Adam Linek at 59.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Adam Linek 58–63 Kamil Rudomina Adam Linek has won 58 of their 121 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:14What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Linek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
58-63 in 121
Rudomina
Wrong
gap of 5 in 121, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Linek 1464 vs Rudomina 1454
Linek
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Linek 80% vs Rudomina 40%
Linek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Linek 50% vs Rudomina 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Linek -1 · Rudomina +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Linek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Linek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLinek 1.73 / Rudomina 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Linek)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13127360
Linek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 102 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it72% 73 of 102
Rudomina2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 191 of 529
Down 0–1, comes back21% 63 of 300
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 149
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLinek4wins
AwayRudomina6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRudomina leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLinek42.9%3 of 7
AwayRudomina66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Linek7Rudomina3n = 10Linek took 7 of 10
S2Linek3Rudomina7n = 10Rudomina took 7 of 10
S3Linek2Rudomina8n = 10Rudomina took 8 of 10
S4Linek2Rudomina6n = 8Rudomina took 6 of 8
S5Linek3Rudomina1n = 4Linek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLinekRudominaL − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.342.4−5.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLinekRudominaBasisWin rate · lifetime783 / 1683 vs 973 / 209746.5%46.4%783 / 1683 vs 973 / 2097Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LinekLinek 1.73/Rudomina 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Linek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Linek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 24:35A. Linek224990K. Rudomina331111113
LAug 25 · 07:20A. Linek391365151K. Rudomina50111111173
LAug 23 · 22:15A. Linek2791080K. Rudomina341112113
LAug 9 · 23:45A. Linek35136881K. Rudomina44111111113
WAug 9 · 15:25A. Linek531311711113K. Rudomina50117111382
LAug 6 · 06:50A. Linek29117381K. Rudomina3961111113
WJul 30 · 07:15A. Linek44611115113K. Rudomina4611981172
WJul 29 · 07:40A. Linek46114911113K. Rudomina4381111942
WJul 28 · 03:20A. Linek4313116133K. Rudomina3911611111
LJul 1 · 13:55A. Linek3511611522K. Rudomina46911411113
A. Linek10
LSep 14 · 24:35A. Linek1.884990K. Rudomina1.821111113WSep 13 · 23:45R. Stapor1.9048111162A. Linek1.75111159113WSep 13 · 22:35A. Linek1.3011118123K. Marchlewski3.108911101WSep 13 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.5591111292A. Linek1.42118911113WSep 11 · 08:05D. Kosmal1.4013580A. Linek2.651511113LSep 11 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.8361111113A. Linek1.86118971LSep 11 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.4211711113A. Linek2.60911891WSep 11 · 04:25B. Sulkowski1.91811712102A. Linek1.801161110123LSep 11 · 03:00D. Solilo1.6591111113A. Linek2.05119861LSep 10 · 13:55A. Linek2.07127861P. Blocho1.62101111113
K. Rudomina10
WSep 14 · 16:30K. Rudomina1.91111111113K. Kostyk1.80136951WSep 14 · 24:35A. Linek1.884990K. Rudomina1.821111113LSep 13 · 22:55R. Stapor1.9711311113K. Rudomina1.69611761WSep 13 · 22:15K. Marchlewski3.3511781152K. Rudomina1.25811115113LSep 13 · 21:30D. Kotwica1.80118119113K. Rudomina1.9181191182LSep 13 · 20:05K. Rudomina1.74741171R. Stapor1.9011116113LSep 13 · 18:30J. Glanowski1.80941111113K. Rudomina1.9011116652WSep 13 · 17:45K. Marchlewski3.359101151K. Rudomina1.2511129113WSep 13 · 16:55K. Rudomina1.42128711113D. Kotwica2.50101111692LSep 13 · 15:50K. Rudomina2.0512117842A. Wos1.681091111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Linek
Sep 14 · 17:40A. Linek2.38J. Witkowski1.53—Sep 14 · 18:30A. Linek2.20M. Kolek1.61—Sep 14 · 20:05A. Linek1.83K. Kostyk1.83—Sep 14 · 21:00A. Linek2.45K. Kostyk1.44—Sep 14 · 22:10A. Linek1.30J. Lamperski3.40—Sep 14 · 22:35A. Linek2.25D. Solilo1.57—Sep 14 · 23:20A. Linek3.00K. Staszczyk1.36—Sep 15 · 15:00A. Linek—K. Kostyk——Sep 15 · 16:30A. Linek—J. Witkowski——Sep 15 · 17:20A. Linek—J. Lamperski——
K. Rudomina
Sep 14 · 18:05K. Rudomina2.75K. Staszczyk1.40—Sep 14 · 18:50K. Rudomina2.63J. Witkowski1.44—Sep 14 · 19:40K. Rudomina2.20M. Kolek1.61—Sep 15 · 09:00K. Rudomina—A. Sobel——Sep 15 · 10:35K. Rudomina—J. Zochniak——Sep 15 · 11:25K. Rudomina—W. Iwasyszyn——Sep 15 · 13:30K. Rudomina—J. Witkowski——Sep 15 · 14:20K. Rudomina—B. Czerwinski——
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