TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13127969
Played Sep 14Finished
Kamil Rudomina
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113116119115––
Kamil Kostyk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Rudomina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Rudomina above · Kamil Kostyk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 77 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Kamil Rudomina at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Rudomina 6–9 Kamil Kostyk Kamil Rudomina has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:21What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kostyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Kostyk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rudomina 1443 vs Kostyk 1403
Rudomina
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rudomina 40% vs Kostyk 0%
Rudomina
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rudomina 40% vs Kostyk 10%
Rudomina
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rudomina -1 · Kostyk -5
Kostyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kostyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kostyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRudomina 1.91 / Kostyk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kostyk)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13127969
Rudomina1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 191 of 529
Down 0–1, comes back21% 63 of 300
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 149
Kostyk1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 44 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it76% 34 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRudomina3wins
AwayKostyk7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKostyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRudomina75%3 of 4
AwayKostyk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rudomina4Kostyk6n = 10Kostyk took 6 of 10
S2Rudomina4Kostyk6n = 10Kostyk took 6 of 10
S3Rudomina3Kostyk7n = 10Kostyk took 7 of 10
S4Rudomina2Kostyk4n = 6Kostyk took 4 of 6
S5Rudomina2Kostyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRudominaKostykR − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.638.7−3.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRudominaKostykBasisWin rate · lifetime971 / 2091 vs 219 / 43846.4%50%971 / 2091 vs 219 / 438Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KostykRudomina 1.91/Kostyk 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kostyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rudomina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 27 · 08:05K. Rudomina44211711132K. Kostyk54118119153
LJun 14 · 09:20K. Rudomina541311101192K. Kostyk51156127113
LMay 30 · 05:25K. Rudomina2310760K. Kostyk341211113
LMay 30 · 03:00K. Rudomina378611121K. Kostyk4111115143
WMay 9 · 10:55K. Rudomina48111178113K. Kostyk3829111152
LApr 6 · 23:20K. Rudomina31114791K. Kostyk3851111113
LApr 6 · 21:00K. Rudomina165380K. Kostyk331111113
WMar 30 · 13:55K. Rudomina491161110113K. Kostyk4891171292
WJan 24 · 11:40K. Rudomina331111113K. Kostyk172960
LNov 23 · 04:05K. Rudomina217680K. Kostyk331111113
K. Rudomina10
LSep 14 · 15:45A. Linek1.731151110123K. Rudomina2.00911912102WSep 14 · 24:35A. Linek1.884990K. Rudomina1.821111113LSep 13 · 22:55R. Stapor1.9711311113K. Rudomina1.69611761WSep 13 · 22:15K. Marchlewski3.3511781152K. Rudomina1.25811115113LSep 13 · 21:30D. Kotwica1.80118119113K. Rudomina1.9181191182LSep 13 · 20:05K. Rudomina1.74741171R. Stapor1.9011116113LSep 13 · 18:30J. Glanowski1.80941111113K. Rudomina1.9011116652WSep 13 · 17:45K. Marchlewski3.359101151K. Rudomina1.2511129113WSep 13 · 16:55K. Rudomina1.42128711113D. Kotwica2.50101111692LSep 13 · 15:50K. Rudomina2.0512117842A. Wos1.681091111113
K. Kostyk10
LSep 14 · 15:00J. Witkowski1.61511913113K. Kostyk2.20118111172LSep 8 · 23:20K. Kapik1.441111113K. Kostyk2.636370LSep 8 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.539111511113K. Kostyk2.3811517482LSep 8 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.0081111482L. Pietraszko1.73119911113LSep 8 · 21:00M. Rutkowski1.5011118113K. Kostyk2.50761111WSep 8 · 20:30K. Kostyk2.631111113K. Kapik1.448870LSep 8 · 18:50K. Kostyk3.751111361K. Glazowski1.2513611113LSep 8 · 17:40K. Kostyk2.2081313852L. Pietraszko1.6111111111113LSep 8 · 16:05K. Kostyk2.75881161A. Daniel1.4011117113LSep 8 · 15:00K. Kostyk2.25610100M. Rutkowski1.571112123
Upcoming Matches
K. Rudomina
Sep 14 · 18:05K. Rudomina2.75K. Staszczyk1.40—Sep 14 · 18:50K. Rudomina2.63J. Witkowski1.44—Sep 14 · 19:40K. Rudomina2.20M. Kolek1.61—Sep 15 · 09:00K. Rudomina—A. Sobel——Sep 15 · 10:35K. Rudomina—J. Zochniak——Sep 15 · 11:25K. Rudomina—W. Iwasyszyn——Sep 15 · 13:30K. Rudomina—J. Witkowski——Sep 15 · 14:20K. Rudomina—B. Czerwinski——
K. Kostyk
Sep 14 · 17:20K. Kostyk2.25M. Kolek1.57—Sep 14 · 19:15K. Kostyk2.20K. Staszczyk1.61—Sep 14 · 20:05K. Kostyk1.83A. Linek1.83—Sep 14 · 21:00K. Kostyk1.44A. Linek2.45—Sep 14 · 22:55K. Kostyk1.44J. Lamperski2.63—Sep 14 · 23:45K. Kostyk2.25D. Solilo1.57—Sep 15 · 24:10K. Kostyk2.20K. Staszczyk1.61—Sep 15 · 15:00K. Kostyk—A. Linek——Sep 15 · 16:05K. Kostyk—J. Lamperski——Sep 15 · 17:40K. Kostyk—B. Kwodawski——
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