TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122199
Played Sep 13Finished
Dmitriy Belanchik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161113113118––
Vasil Salivonchyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Belanchik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitriy Belanchik above · Vasil Salivonchyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Dmitriy Belanchik at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Belanchik 6–2 Vasil Salivonchyk Vasil Salivonchyk has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:04What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Belanchik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Belanchik
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Belanchik 1149 vs Salivonchyk 1259
Salivonchyk
Wrong
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belanchik 40% vs Salivonchyk 60%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belanchik 30% vs Salivonchyk 50%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Belanchik -1 · Salivonchyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Belanchik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Belanchik form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelanchik 1.73 / Salivonchyk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Belanchik)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13122199
Belanchik1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 23 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Salivonchyk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 34 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeBelanchik6wins
AwaySalivonchyk2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderBelanchik leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBelanchik75%3 of 4
AwaySalivonchyk25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Belanchik4Salivonchyk4n = 8split evenly
S2Belanchik4Salivonchyk4n = 8split evenly
S3Belanchik5Salivonchyk3n = 8Belanchik took 5 of 8
S4Belanchik4Salivonchyk4n = 8split evenly
S5Belanchik3Salivonchyk0n = 3Belanchik took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricBelanchikSalivonchykB − SBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match42.439.9+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelanchikSalivonchykBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 241 vs 334 / 61644.4%54.2%107 / 241 vs 334 / 616Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BelanchikBelanchik 1.73/Salivonchyk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Belanchik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Belanchik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 24 · 04:55D. Belanchik409911111V. Salivonchyk4311118133
WAug 23 · 14:55D. Belanchik3811511113V. Salivonchyk31611771
WJun 1 · 04:55D. Belanchik43111110113V. Salivonchyk36691291
WMay 31 · 15:55D. Belanchik52119129113V. Salivonchyk46511101192
WAug 29 · 10:25D. Belanchik47511911113V. Salivonchyk4511911592
WAug 28 · 14:55D. Belanchik50613119113V. Salivonchyk46111191142
WAug 22 · 08:25D. Belanchik3961111113V. Salivonchyk31117581
LAug 21 · 17:25D. Belanchik30114781V. Salivonchyk4181111113
D. Belanchik10
LSep 13 · 14:25D. Belanchik1.8381080O. Sapuzhak1.831112113WSep 13 · 12:25D. Belanchik1.831111108113M. Treschetka1.8374121142LSep 9 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.2811117113D. Belanchik3.50541131WSep 9 · 09:25D. Belanchik2.10121111123O. Maksymkiv1.671437101LSep 9 · 08:25D. Belanchik1.80761191A. Didyk1.9111111113LSep 9 · 06:55D. Belanchik2.5045100V. Dobrovolskyi1.501111123LSep 9 · 04:55D. Belanchik3.253540D. Kozoriz1.331111113LSep 8 · 17:55D. Belanchik3.008270D. Kozoriz1.361111113WSep 8 · 16:25D. Belanchik2.63115189113V. Dobrovolskyi1.44911161192LSep 8 · 14:55D. Belanchik2.00841111K. Tkachenko1.7311117113
V. Salivonchyk10
WSep 13 · 13:55V. Kheresko1.73781111162V. Salivonchyk2.00111178183LSep 13 · 11:55I. Fokin2.381111103V. Salivonchyk1.539780WSep 7 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv1.80711481V. Salivonchyk1.9111911113LSep 7 · 09:55S. Kryvoshyi1.281112113V. Salivonchyk3.5061090WSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113WSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113LSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103LSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113
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