TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099760
Played Sep 9Finished
Dmitriy Belanchik
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711611111911––
Andriy Didyk
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Belanchik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmitriy Belanchik above · Andriy Didyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 67 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Dmitriy Belanchik at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Belanchik 15–7 Andriy Didyk Andriy Didyk has won 7 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:14What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Belanchik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-7 in 22
Belanchik
Wrong
gap of 8 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Belanchik 1178 vs Didyk 1379
Didyk
Correct
both rated, 202 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belanchik 20% vs Didyk 80%
Didyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belanchik 30% vs Didyk 90%
Didyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Belanchik -3 · Didyk -1
Belanchik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Didyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelanchik 1.80 / Didyk 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Didyk)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13099760
Belanchik1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 28 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Didyk1.91
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 51 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBelanchik8wins
AwayDidyk2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBelanchik leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBelanchik100%3 of 3
AwayDidyk28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Belanchik3Didyk7n = 10Didyk took 7 of 10
S2Belanchik9Didyk1n = 10Belanchik took 9 of 10
S3Belanchik6Didyk4n = 10Belanchik took 6 of 10
S4Belanchik6Didyk2n = 8Belanchik took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBelanchikDidykB − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.433.4+4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelanchikDidykBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 241 vs 221 / 46444%47.6%106 / 241 vs 221 / 464Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.234.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidykBelanchik 1.80/Didyk 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Didyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Didyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 1 · 04:55D. Belanchik—81110101A. Didyk—11612123
WMar 13 · 11:25D. Belanchik—111136113A. Didyk—98111182
LMar 12 · 14:25D. Belanchik—6440A. Didyk—111183
WFeb 28 · 11:25D. Belanchik—101111113A. Didyk—122761
WFeb 12 · 13:55D. Belanchik—11118123A. Didyk—4511101
WJan 31 · 11:25D. Belanchik—71111113A. Didyk—118351
WJan 30 · 14:55D. Belanchik—31312113A. Didyk—11111071
WNov 26 · 05:55D. Belanchik—91112113A. Didyk—1191041
WNov 25 · 18:55D. Belanchik—1111113A. Didyk—9760
WSep 10 · 06:55D. Belanchik—61111113A. Didyk—119891
D. Belanchik10
LSep 9 · 06:55D. Belanchik2.5045100V. Dobrovolskyi1.501111123LSep 9 · 04:55D. Belanchik3.253540D. Kozoriz1.331111113LSep 8 · 17:55D. Belanchik3.008270D. Kozoriz1.361111113WSep 8 · 16:25D. Belanchik2.63115189113V. Dobrovolskyi1.44911161192LSep 8 · 14:55D. Belanchik2.00841111K. Tkachenko1.7311117113LSep 8 · 13:25D. Belanchik2.50107111162V. Kheresko1.50121157113WSep 8 · 11:55D. Belanchik2.101111113S. Kryvoshyi1.679990LAug 28 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.201112113D. Belanchik1.6141050WAug 28 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.44911125113O. Maslovskyi2.63115101172LAug 28 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.20111311972O. Maksymkiv1.61915711113
A. Didyk10
LSep 9 · 06:25O. Maksymkiv2.6311115113A. Didyk1.44571151WSep 9 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.678112101A. Didyk2.1011911123WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162
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