TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099790
Played Sep 9Finished
Oleh Maksymkiv
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115117511115––
Andriy Didyk
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:23 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeAndriy Didyk to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Maksymkiv above · Andriy Didyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 66 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Andriy Didyk at 68.9%
66 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Maksymkiv 3–8 Andriy Didyk Oleh Maksymkiv has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:23What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Didyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Didyk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymkiv 1255 vs Didyk 1396
Didyk
Wrong
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymkiv 60% vs Didyk 100%
Didyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymkiv 60% vs Didyk 90%
Didyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymkiv +1 · Didyk +5
Didyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Didyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymkiv 2.63 / Didyk 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Didyk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13099790
Maksymkiv2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 65 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Didyk1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 46 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it72% 34 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksymkiv3wins
AwayDidyk7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDidyk leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymkivn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDidyk77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymkiv1Didyk9n = 10Didyk took 9 of 10
S2Maksymkiv7Didyk3n = 10Maksymkiv took 7 of 10
S3Maksymkiv4Didyk6n = 10Didyk took 6 of 10
S4Maksymkiv4Didyk4n = 8split evenly
S5Maksymkiv2Didyk4n = 6Didyk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksymkivDidykM − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match38.042.9−4.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymkivDidykBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 723 vs 221 / 46352.4%47.7%379 / 723 vs 221 / 463Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidykMaksymkiv 2.63/Didyk 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Didyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maksymkiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 06:55O. Maksymkiv—91111682A. Didyk—113811113
LAug 19 · 04:55O. Maksymkiv—9350A. Didyk—1111113
LJul 7 · 13:25O. Maksymkiv—1211851A. Didyk—14611113
WJun 23 · 14:55O. Maksymkiv—41113113A. Didyk—1121161
WJun 17 · 06:55O. Maksymkiv—1011132113A. Didyk—125111192
LJun 11 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv—916121142A. Didyk—1114145113
LMay 29 · 09:59O. Maksymkiv—51251182A. Didyk—1110118113
WMay 29 · 07:25O. Maksymkiv—111139113A. Didyk—74111172
LMay 5 · 12:25O. Maksymkiv—541211102A. Didyk—1111109123
LFeb 20 · 10:25O. Maksymkiv—7630A. Didyk—1111113
O. Maksymkiv10
WSep 9 · 05:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.67149811102O. Maksymkiv2.101211119123LSep 7 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv1.80711481V. Salivonchyk1.9111911113WSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113LSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861
A. Didyk10
WSep 9 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.678112101A. Didyk2.1011911123WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113
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