TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099777
Played Sep 9Finished
Dmitriy Belanchik
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4115111012––––
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:14 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitriy Belanchik above · Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 53 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi at 65.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Belanchik 2–4 Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi Dmitriy Belanchik has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Belanchik 1178 vs Dobrovolskyi 1339
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belanchik 20% vs Dobrovolskyi 40%
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belanchik 40% vs Dobrovolskyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Belanchik -2 · Dobrovolskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Dobrovolskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dobrovolskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelanchik 2.50 / Dobrovolskyi 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Dobrovolskyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13099777
Belanchik2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 15 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Dobrovolskyi1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 60 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBelanchik2wins
AwayDobrovolskyi4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderDobrovolskyi leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBelanchik66.7%2 of 3
AwayDobrovolskyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Belanchik3Dobrovolskyi3n = 6split evenly
S2Belanchik1Dobrovolskyi5n = 6Dobrovolskyi took 5 of 6
S3Belanchik3Dobrovolskyi3n = 6split evenly
S4Belanchik0Dobrovolskyi5n = 5Dobrovolskyi took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricBelanchikDobrovolskyiB − DBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match36.745.5−8.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelanchikDobrovolskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 241 vs 205 / 43144%47.6%106 / 241 vs 205 / 431Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.235.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobrovolskyiBelanchik 2.50/Dobrovolskyi 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Dobrovolskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dobrovolskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 9 · 06:55D. Belanchik—45100V. Dobrovolskyi—1111123
WSep 8 · 16:25D. Belanchik—115189113V. Dobrovolskyi—911161192
LFeb 21 · 06:55D. Belanchik—4414141V. Dobrovolskyi—111112163
WFeb 20 · 12:55D. Belanchik—111683113V. Dobrovolskyi—814111182
LFeb 13 · 07:55D. Belanchik—3411101V. Dobrovolskyi—11114113
LFeb 12 · 16:25D. Belanchik—1151261V. Dobrovolskyi—81114113
D. Belanchik10
LSep 9 · 04:55D. Belanchik3.253540D. Kozoriz1.331111113LSep 8 · 17:55D. Belanchik3.008270D. Kozoriz1.361111113WSep 8 · 16:25D. Belanchik2.63115189113V. Dobrovolskyi1.44911161192LSep 8 · 14:55D. Belanchik2.00841111K. Tkachenko1.7311117113LSep 8 · 13:25D. Belanchik2.50107111162V. Kheresko1.50121157113WSep 8 · 11:55D. Belanchik2.101111113S. Kryvoshyi1.679990LAug 28 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.201112113D. Belanchik1.6141050WAug 28 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.44911125113O. Maslovskyi2.63115101172LAug 28 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.20111311972O. Maksymkiv1.61915711113WAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652
V. Dobrovolskyi10
LSep 9 · 05:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.67149811102O. Maksymkiv2.101211119123WSep 8 · 18:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.3611119113S. Kryvoshyi3.00831191LSep 8 · 16:25D. Belanchik2.63115189113V. Dobrovolskyi1.44911161192WSep 8 · 15:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.5311114113V. Kheresko2.38941171LSep 8 · 14:25D. Kozoriz3.751311113V. Dobrovolskyi1.2511570WSep 8 · 12:55V. Dobrovolskyi1.4021111113K. Tkachenko2.75117781LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381LSep 1 · 17:35V. Dobrovolskyi3.2511156732D. Maltsev1.335131111113LSep 1 · 15:35I. Pytsko1.2211119113V. Dobrovolskyi4.00771171LSep 1 · 13:35M. Potapov1.281111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.505460
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