TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094466
Played Sep 8Finished
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118113911119––
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 73 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi at 70.4%
73 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi 16–7 Serhii Kryvoshyi Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 7 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:05What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-7 in 23
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
gap of 9 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dobrovolskyi 1335 vs Kryvoshyi 1268
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dobrovolskyi 40% vs Kryvoshyi 60%
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dobrovolskyi 20% vs Kryvoshyi 60%
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dobrovolskyi -1 · Kryvoshyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Dobrovolskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobrovolskyi 1.36 / Kryvoshyi 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Dobrovolskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13094466
Dobrovolskyi1.36
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite74% won 57 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 43 of 49
Kryvoshyi3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 29 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back21% 11 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDobrovolskyi8wins
AwayKryvoshyi2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDobrovolskyi leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDobrovolskyi87.5%7 of 8
AwayKryvoshyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dobrovolskyi8Kryvoshyi2n = 10Dobrovolskyi took 8 of 10
S2Dobrovolskyi6Kryvoshyi4n = 10Dobrovolskyi took 6 of 10
S3Dobrovolskyi9Kryvoshyi1n = 10Dobrovolskyi took 9 of 10
S4Dobrovolskyi4Kryvoshyi2n = 6Dobrovolskyi took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDobrovolskyiKryvoshyiD − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.331.7+6.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobrovolskyiKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 428 vs 258 / 56247.4%45.9%203 / 428 vs 258 / 562Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.035.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobrovolskyiDobrovolskyi 1.36/Kryvoshyi 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Dobrovolskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dobrovolskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 22 · 08:55V. Dobrovolskyi—11611113S. Kryvoshyi—611961
LApr 21 · 17:25V. Dobrovolskyi—411111122S. Kryvoshyi—119913113
WApr 16 · 09:55V. Dobrovolskyi—121111133S. Kryvoshyi—1486111
LApr 15 · 17:25V. Dobrovolskyi—1141081S. Kryvoshyi—51112113
WFeb 21 · 05:55V. Dobrovolskyi—1211113S. Kryvoshyi—10430
WFeb 20 · 14:25V. Dobrovolskyi—1411113S. Kryvoshyi—12280
WFeb 13 · 09:55V. Dobrovolskyi—1114113S. Kryvoshyi—91270
WFeb 12 · 13:25V. Dobrovolskyi—1111123S. Kryvoshyi—45100
WJan 22 · 11:25V. Dobrovolskyi—11911113S. Kryvoshyi—811851
WJan 21 · 13:25V. Dobrovolskyi—11912113S. Kryvoshyi—9111061
V. Dobrovolskyi10
LSep 8 · 16:25D. Belanchik2.63115189113V. Dobrovolskyi1.44911161192WSep 8 · 15:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.5311114113V. Kheresko2.38941171LSep 8 · 14:25D. Kozoriz3.751311113V. Dobrovolskyi1.2511570WSep 8 · 12:55V. Dobrovolskyi1.4021111113K. Tkachenko2.75117781LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381LSep 1 · 17:35V. Dobrovolskyi3.2511156732D. Maltsev1.335131111113LSep 1 · 15:35I. Pytsko1.2211119113V. Dobrovolskyi4.00771171LSep 1 · 13:35M. Potapov1.281111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.505460LSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:30I. Pytsko1.251171113113V. Dobrovolskyi3.7581181582
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 8 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.10101181262S. Kryvoshyi1.671291110113LSep 8 · 15:55D. Kozoriz1.611112113S. Kryvoshyi2.2061030WSep 8 · 13:55K. Tkachenko1.40815371S. Kryvoshyi2.75111311113LSep 8 · 11:55D. Belanchik2.101111113S. Kryvoshyi1.679990WSep 7 · 11:25V. Kheresko2.2051171152S. Kryvoshyi1.61115119113WSep 7 · 09:55S. Kryvoshyi1.281112113V. Salivonchyk3.5061090WSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113
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