TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099799
Played Sep 9Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115114711113––
Dmitriy Belanchik
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:22 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Dmitriy Belanchik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 63 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 76.6%
63 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 15–1 Dmitriy Belanchik Dmitriy Belanchik has won 1 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:22What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Oliynyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-1 in 16
Oliynyk
Correct
gap of 14 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1247 vs Belanchik 1187
Oliynyk
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 20% vs Belanchik 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 30% vs Belanchik 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk -4 · Belanchik +1
Oliynyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Oliynyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oliynyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 1.28 / Belanchik 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Oliynyk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13099799
Oliynyk1.28
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 28 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Belanchik3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 15 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOliynyk9wins
AwayBelanchik1wins
Oliynyk leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynyk100%8 of 8
AwayBelanchikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk8Belanchik2n = 10Oliynyk took 8 of 10
S2Oliynyk6Belanchik4n = 10Oliynyk took 6 of 10
S3Oliynyk9Belanchik1n = 10Oliynyk took 9 of 10
S4Oliynyk4Belanchik0n = 4Oliynyk took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOliynykBelanchikO − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.926.2+8.7per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykBelanchikBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 223 vs 107 / 24350.2%44%112 / 223 vs 107 / 243Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.235.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykOliynyk 1.28/Belanchik 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Oliynyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk—4860D. Belanchik—1111113
WJun 1 · 09:25H. Oliynyk—12911113D. Belanchik—1011961
WMar 20 · 17:25H. Oliynyk—111011113D. Belanchik—812891
WJan 30 · 16:55H. Oliynyk—1111113D. Belanchik—4350
WAug 28 · 17:55H. Oliynyk—1111113D. Belanchik—9790
WAug 21 · 13:25H. Oliynyk—13712113D. Belanchik—11111081
WMar 27 · 11:25H. Oliynyk—1111103D. Belanchik—2550
WMar 26 · 16:55H. Oliynyk—1111113D. Belanchik—9280
WMar 13 · 11:25H. Oliynyk—31111113D. Belanchik—113541
WMar 12 · 16:25H. Oliynyk—1311113D. Belanchik—11770
H. Oliynyk10
LSep 9 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.3811511892V. Dobrovolskyi1.53911311113LSep 9 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.4411115492O. Maksymkiv2.63741111113LSep 9 · 05:55H. Oliynyk4.336780D. Kozoriz1.201111113LSep 9 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.678112101A. Didyk2.1011911123WSep 7 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.201111113M. Treschetka4.337780LSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113
D. Belanchik10
WSep 9 · 09:25D. Belanchik2.10121111123O. Maksymkiv1.671437101LSep 9 · 08:25D. Belanchik1.80761191A. Didyk1.9111111113LSep 9 · 06:55D. Belanchik2.5045100V. Dobrovolskyi1.501111123LSep 9 · 04:55D. Belanchik3.253540D. Kozoriz1.331111113LSep 8 · 17:55D. Belanchik3.008270D. Kozoriz1.361111113WSep 8 · 16:25D. Belanchik2.63115189113V. Dobrovolskyi1.44911161192LSep 8 · 14:55D. Belanchik2.00841111K. Tkachenko1.7311117113LSep 8 · 13:25D. Belanchik2.50107111162V. Kheresko1.50121157113WSep 8 · 11:55D. Belanchik2.101111113S. Kryvoshyi1.679990WAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113
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