TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099785
Played Sep 9Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117114511411911
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:14 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 84 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 68.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 10–3 Oleh Maksymkiv Oleh Maksymkiv has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:14What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Oliynyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-3 in 13
Oliynyk
Wrong
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1256 vs Maksymkiv 1282
Maksymkiv
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 40% vs Maksymkiv 60%
Maksymkiv
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 50% vs Maksymkiv 70%
Maksymkiv
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk -2 · Maksymkiv +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Oliynyk) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 1.44 / Maksymkiv 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Oliynyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13099785
Oliynyk1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 28 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Maksymkiv2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 65 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOliynyk7wins
AwayMaksymkiv3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOliynyk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayMaksymkiv50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk6Maksymkiv4n = 10Oliynyk took 6 of 10
S2Oliynyk8Maksymkiv2n = 10Oliynyk took 8 of 10
S3Oliynyk7Maksymkiv3n = 10Oliynyk took 7 of 10
S4Oliynyk3Maksymkiv2n = 5Oliynyk took 3 of 5
S5Oliynyk1Maksymkiv2n = 3Maksymkiv took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOliynykMaksymkivO − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.429.8+7.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 222 vs 381 / 72550.5%52.6%112 / 222 vs 381 / 725Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykOliynyk 1.44/Maksymkiv 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Maksymkiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 07:25H. Oliynyk—11115492O. Maksymkiv—741111113
LSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk—9880O. Maksymkiv—1111113
WAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk—41111113O. Maksymkiv—113681
WAug 13 · 13:55H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—9840
WJul 15 · 08:25H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—7330
WJul 1 · 05:55H. Oliynyk—651111113O. Maksymkiv—11117482
LJun 24 · 04:25H. Oliynyk—711117142O. Maksymkiv—115711163
WJun 17 · 08:55H. Oliynyk—1311113O. Maksymkiv—11550
WJun 5 · 06:55H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—5840
WApr 23 · 15:55H. Oliynyk—111111113O. Maksymkiv—481351
H. Oliynyk10
LSep 9 · 05:55H. Oliynyk4.336780D. Kozoriz1.201111113LSep 9 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.678112101A. Didyk2.1011911123WSep 7 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.201111113M. Treschetka4.337780LSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113WAug 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi3.001129101H. Oliynyk1.3671111123WAug 27 · 15:25H. Oliynyk1.221111113M. Treschetka4.006460
O. Maksymkiv10
WSep 9 · 06:25O. Maksymkiv2.6311115113A. Didyk1.44571151WSep 9 · 05:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.67149811102O. Maksymkiv2.101211119123LSep 7 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv1.80711481V. Salivonchyk1.9111911113WSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113LSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113
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